Mumbling about Sports and More

Sweet Music by Ronnie, Milsap

2007-11-07T23:13:00.001-07:00

The second year of an NBA career often produces what is called the "sophomore slump" in many players. Fortunately for the Jazz, their two sophomores, Ronnie Brewer and Paul Milsap, led Utah to an exciting 103-101 win over the Cleveland Cavaliers Wednesday night.

Brewer and Milsap are off to great starts in their second seasons, quickly dispelling the notion of a sophomore slump. Brewer is perhaps the biggest surprise and after 5 games is averaging 16 points per game, shooting 60% from the field, and contributing big on defense with just over 3 steals per game. Quite the contrast to his rookie season when he only appeared in 56 games and scored just over 4 points per game. For Milsap, it was a career high in scoring with 24 points, raising his season average to over 11 per game (compared to 5.9 in his rookie year).

You have to credit the Cavaliers for hanging around and staying in the game. You can't argue with the fact that they just didn't play their best game. They were out-shot, out-rebounded, and out hustled for most of the night. However some big shots down the stretch from the perimeter kept them in the game. When Lebron hit a huge 3-pointer with 6 seconds left to tie the game, it seemed like the Cavs where going to win a game they had no business winning. Then a quick inbounds pass caught the Cavs defense relaxing, and Deron Williams drove the length of the court for the winning lay-up with just over one second remaining.

Related Reading: A pretty good Cleveland Cavaliers blog can be found at the MVN.

Quick Shots:

While Brewer and Milsap stole the show, Boozer and Williams still put up some good numbers. Boozer produced 23 points and 12 rebounds, and Williams posted 15 points and 12 assists. To be fair Williams did have 8 turnovers as he seemed a little out of sync at times and forced a few bad passes.
One myth is melting away - and that is that old school Jerry Sloan doesn't play young guys. Milsap and Brewer are both making major contributions in their second year, and you have to credit Sloan for building maturity beyond their years in Boozer and Williams. Maybe a more accurate statement is that Sloan doesn't play young players - if they aren't good enough yet.
At 3-2, the Jazz are off to a solid start. Given that all 5 games have been against NBA playoff teams from last year.
The Jazz entered this game leading the NBA in scoring with an average of 113 points per game. It's a wonder what playing the defenseless Golden St. Warriors two times can do for you.

Up Next: The Jazz travel to Seattle Friday night for their first view of top rookie Kevin Durant. To learn more about the Sonics, read one of the best NBA blogs on the web: SuperSonicSoul - where you'll find some great stats and writing. The Sonics may stink, but this blog does not!

A-Rod, The Jazz, and JC Penney

2007-11-04T21:11:00.000-07:00

A few things of note this week. Some are obvious tops, like Alex Rodriguez or the Utah Jazz, but I certainly didn't start the week thinking about JC Penney. A-Rod opted out and I read an amazing stat that is hard to believe, the Jazz kicked off the 2007-08 season, and I bumped into one of the funniest things I've read on the web in many weeks.

To begin, I'm a Yankee fan. I've also been an A-Rod fan, feeling for the most part that the media and fans are doing the same ole, build somebody up, and then tear them down when they fail to live up to the unreal hype. I knew A-Rod was likely to opt-out of his contract, though the Yankee fan part of me wanted him to stay, under the condition he'd let the Yankee's extend his current contract. I understand the business decision he and his agent made to opt-out, but the way they did it has caused me to officially jump off the A-Rod bandwagon. For his agent to leak the story to the national media during the World Series was a selfish and classless move. To top it off, he did so prior to telling the Yankees of their decision. I hope the Yankee management sticks to their pledge to not negotiate any further and use their massive amounts of money to pursue pitching and younger players. As for A-Rod and Boras, I doubt they'll get the wish list they've created: $300 Million, a roster spot with a legitimate pennant contender, and a team where A-Rod can play shortstop. I think I'd prefer to quote that old Saturday Night Live skit with the flight attendants and tell A-Rod, "Buh-Bye". (related link of interest: The New York Times blog shares an A-Rod stat that is hard to believe.)

As for the Jazz, I'll analyze them deeper as time goes on, but I think at this point it's fair to quickly comment on expectations for the season. I think the National media for the most part is correct, the Jazz will have a tough time cracking the top 4 in the Western Conference. Here in Salt Lake City however, I think many people are expecting the team to get close to 60 wins and make another run to the Western Conference finals. I expect the Jazz to be better than they were last season, probably in the 52-56 win range and battle with Denver for the division title. The playoffs however will be very challenging in the West, so I think the Jazz are a probably another year away from being one of the best teams in the conference.

It's not sports related, but....Last mumble for today is about that JC Penney catalog review - that I'm sure many of you have heard about already. It's certainly not sports, but this article will definitely hit your funny bone. Why is a JC Penney catalog funny? Well, the fact that it's the 1977 JC Penney catalog is the main source of the humor.

The Truck That Ran Over UNC

2005-09-30T16:27:00.000-06:00

The big red truck is rolling into Chapel Hill. On the side of the giant rig it reads the "University of Utah Utes". What truck you ask? The big red one that ran over the UNC Tar Heels last season 46-16 and left the Tar Heels wounded and wondering "Did anyone see the name on the truck that hit us?" Truth be known, this season's version of the big red truck is hardly the same as the one led by Alex Smith and Urban Meyer last season. In fact, UNC looks to be a better team than the squad that was bombed at Rice Eccles last season and Utah looks to be dangerous but doesn't seem to be capable of the same type of demolition.

The Tar Heels are solid where it matters most and the result is optimism abound. On offense they are getting big plays out of new starting quarterback, senior Matt Baker, and feature a dangerous tailback Barrington Edwards who is coming off a career high 129 yards. Perhaps the strength of their team is found in the trenches, with their offensive and defensive lines, two areas where they were dominated last season by the Utes. The Tar Heels, playing at home, are feeling confident and wanting to avenge last season's embarrassment.

In fact, revenge is sounding like the big motivator for UNC.

"They kept their foot on our throat," linebacker Tommy Richardson. "Even though they were in control of the game, they were passing a lot and running trick plays. I'm looking forward to this game."

"This team's always going to have fighters on it," wide receiver Jesse Holley says. "The head coach is a fighter, and he recruits fighters. This game with Utah is personal and it means something. We want to get back to .500. And we owe them."

Not wanting to burst the Carolina revenge bubble, but the spread offense doesn't just become "un-spread" because you have a lead. Utah was able to play many players off it's bench in the thrashing of Tar Heels last year and they could have run it up, which they did not. In fact the 46 points Utah scored last year was pretty much a typical scoring night for the high powered Utes who averaged 45.3 points per game last year. It even could be argued that Utah did in some way call off the dogs as the offense didn't score in the final 12 and half minutes. In fact, in only one other home game (Texas A&M) did Utah score fewer points (41). It is true that Utah set a UNC record for most yards allowed to an opponent of 669. UNC's offense was just as bad as their defense as they only mustered 221 yards. Was it Utah's fault that the ACC team probably over-looked the Utes? Was it Utah's fault that the Heels probably thought the Ute offense was a gimmicky and finesse system prior to the game? Of course not on both counts. So apparantely it must be Utah's fault that they physically dominated the Tar Heels in a game in which 9 Tar Heels were injured and didn't let their opponent feel as though they had a chance. Memo to the Tar Heels, "You were nothing special, the Utes destroyed every opponent last year." Actually some of the blame for last season's result could be shouldered by the UNC. If I remember correctly the Tar Heels had three players suspended for marijuana use the week of the Utah game, including a top receiver and a key defender.

So now forgetting the past, this year's Utes must show some toughness on the road. It would seem that Vegas believes Utah isn't ready to do that and has established UNC as a 3 ½ point favorite. To be honest, most of the talk is making this out to be a very tough game and not one that Utah will win.

How good is UNC? The Talk and The Truth

The Talk is that UNC has a strong and quick defense that has held up pretty well against some good competition. The Truth is that UNC is still giving up about 22 points per game, and while their opponents have been solid, none of them are offensive juggernauts (Georgia Tech, Wisconsin, NC State). Also, the supposedly improved defense has yet to make an interception in the first three games.

The Talk is that Matt Baker is a good QB and a great leader. The Truth is that he only has 4 TDs on the season and 5 Interceptions. He has made a couple big plays, including an 87-yard touchdown pass, but is still completing less than half his passes. Statistics show he is hardly the strenghth of their team.

The Talk is that UNC's offense is improved this season and starting to hit it's stride following a 31-24 victory over NC State. The Truth is that they are only averaging 19 points per game on the season and 9 of their 57 points were scored by their defense. Add to that another TD the offense scored after getting the ball inside the 5-yard line, and this low scoring team has had nearly 30% of their points resulting from their defense on the season.

Thinking about what will happen...

I think Utah is the probably the best team UNC has faced so far this season. If this game was in Salt Lake City, I'd say Utah would win by 7-10 points. The fact this game is in North Carolina, and this Utah team hasn't yet cleared the road game hurdle, is what makes this game very close. You can argue that UNC is a faster team than Utah and better on the defensive line that the Utes, but you'd have a hard time arguing the Heels are better than Utah in any other area.

The Questions:

Can Utah limit UNC's running game better than they did at TCU this season?

Keeping UNC from grinding out long drives on their home field should be a key. Especially early on, as Utah's defense could get wore down late in the game if forced to stay on the field too much. Air Force also had similar rushing success early in the game against the Utes.

Can UNC mix it up enough on defense to confuse or slow down Brian Johnson?

TCU did this by getting Utah to expect blitzing, but then playing more zone coverage later in the game. Odds are that the same tactic won't work again against the quick learning Johnson. However, he hasn't been played enough to have seen it all yet. Also, if UNC can limit UtahÂs first down yardage and force the Utes to have 3^rd and long, they will put a lot of pressure on the Johnson, as Utah hasn't excelled on 3^rd down this season as they did last year.

The Outlook:

I think the odds makers have this game about right. I want to be wrong. But, I have a feeling that Utah will lose a close game in North Carolina. This will be Utah's first chance to surprise us this year and if they jumped up and bit the Heels, it would be a huge step in the growth of this team. But, I'm not sure they are ready for that step. I don't think they will walk away feeling like UNC was a better team, in fact, I'd guess UNC won't even get the vindication they are seeking. The fact that this is a road game and not an easy trip on Utah will cause them to be less efficient than normal. Don't get me wrong, I don't expect Utah to make a lot of mistakes, but I think perhaps the big play will be missing this time around. UNC will run well enough to keep the tempo to their liking and eek out a victory 23-20.

Want to read more about the North Carolina Tar Heels? Visit the Tar Heel Blue website.

Want to know what a Tar Heel is? Here are two definitions I found:

(a) In the civil war a regiment from the state of North Carolina held their line while their foe retreated. Hence, they held the line like they had tar on theidefinition (this is probably the preferred defintion).

(b) An old derogatory term relating to areas of poverty in North Carolina. The people in the area were so poor they didn't have shoes and as a result had tar on their heels.

Incidently, The Daily Tarheel is also picking a narrow victory for boys in powder blue. You can read more about their projected 28-24 victory for the home team.

Utah facing the big WHAT IF

2005-09-22T14:05:00.000-06:00

That quietness is hard to shake. The sizzle has cooled. The University of Utah and their 18 game winning streak are back to square one. They now say things like, "You can't win them all". Oh sure, now you tell us. The fans where brought back to earth last week in a tough overtime loss to TCU. The Ute players and coaches are giving us other cliches like, "We'll see what we are made of" and "It's important how we bounce back". The truth is the University of Utah hasn't had to bounce back from anything in almost two years. While we like to think they are resilient and will be ready to put up a big game in a crucial situation and against a quality opponent at a critical time, but we just don't know. That little inner battle of self confidence versus self doubt will be one of the most intriguing things to see tonight and the result will set the path for the rest of the season.

What we know so far:

TCU is a good team. Not a great team, but good. Them beating OU and Utah, two of the top five teams in the country last year, is a good accomplishment, but it doesn't mean quite as much as it sounds like it does. OU is down. Way down. Utah isn't unbeatable anymore either. And for the Frogs one loss, well SMU apparently isn't as awful as people think. Certainly SMU is now capable of standing up and winning if the opponent doesn't overlooks them and lays an egg, as TCU did in their lone loss on the year. TCU plays in BYU in Provo this week, so we'll have another chance to gauge them.

Utah should be unbeaten. Utah's loss to the Horned Frogs shouldn't have happened. It's true there were a couple bad calls that went against them, including the offensive pass interference that wasn't called on TCU on the winning touchdown in overtime. But, don't misunderstand, the referees weren't the cause of the loss. Utah had chances to win this game. Utah was up 17-7 in the 3^rd quarter and instead of seizing the game, they let the Frogs stay in the game. Also, Utah had the ball at midfield with something like three minutes left in the game. Yet they didn't seize that opportunity either and ended up in an overtime game. You want to know what happens to road teams in overtime when they are playing in that hot humid Texas air? The same thing that happens to teams that come to Utah and try to battle out a close game at altitude. You begin to look a little tired and you lose your edge. Case in point - Utah's star running back Quinton Ganther developed cramps and wasnÂt there to be the hammer late in the game. Shoulda, coulda, woulda sums it all up. Last year, Utah simply DID.

Air Force can definately win this game tonight. Utah and Air Force have had battles in recent years. Sure Utah thumped them last year, but in years prior we've seen triple overtime and close wins by both teams. Vegas says the Utes are favored by a touchdown. While that number is easy to rationalize and I could see a 37-27 score in favor of Utah, history says this game will be closer than that and come down to the final two or three minutes.

The big WHAT IF-

What happens to Utah if they lose? It would be the first time in 30 games that the Utes have lost two in a row. It would be two conference losses and make winning the conference outright pretty much impossible. In fact, it might make even sharing the conference title an extreme long-shot. Would the surge in popularity for the Utes be gone? The bandwagon, which has lost a few members already, would certainly have plenty of vacancy if Utah were to drop to 2-2. The young QB Brian Johnson who looks like he can be terrific, would have a large case of doubt cast into his promising career. Instead of being a rising program, a loss would further give credence to those people claiming the last two years as flukes and nothing more than the "Urban effect".

Mumbling on the outcome:

No way Utah's defense stops the Falcon offense. I expect Air Force to score a minimum of 27 points and expect perhaps the mid-thirties. Utah must be efficient and avoid early turnovers. That seems to be a basic element to any game, but the key is early turnovers. If Utah comes out and scores a few times early, they will be able to survive some errors later in the game. If Air Force causes some blunders by Utah and gets an early lead, the whole game changes and the ground game will hurt Utah. Surely the game won't be over if the Utes go up early, but the style of the game will change to what Utah might prefer. Air Force, unlike past Falcon teams, is passing the ball fairly well. QB Shaun Carney is very elusive and tricky with the ball. His ability to throw off an option play brings new dangers to defending the Falcons. That said, these Falcons still do most of the damage on the ground and not in the air. Air Force is 13^th in the nation in rushing yards per game at 258.

I was wrong predicting the outcome of last weekÂs game, so take this with a grain of salt. While I expect the Utes to serve the Falcons a big dose of Quinton Ganther, I also think they'll make a concerted effort to allow both QB Brian Johnson and WR Brent Casteel to make some big plays. Utah has a 9 game home winning streak and should win this game. I'll give in to history and go with a close score of 37-34 in favor of Utah.

Big Numbers in 1988

Scott Mitchell, set a then NCAA record, and still holds the Utah record with 631 yards passing in a game when Utah lost to Air Force in 1988. Why did they lose? In the same game, Air Force rolled up a whopping 640 yards rushing against Utah. Let those numbers sink in. Next time you see a running team go nuts for 450 yards, realize that is still about 200 yards short. Next time you see a big air show and the QB posts something like 450 yards, realize he isn't even close.

Nation’s 2nd longest winning streak in jeopardy

2005-09-15T14:01:00.000-06:00

There is a little game day tension circulating in Salt Lake City. The Utes have knocked off 18 straight opponents. A streak that now extends into parts of three different seasons. Confidence is in the air, but today there is also something else. Tension. TCU’s victory over Oklahoma gave the Horned Frogs instant respect and has given everyone the impression that they will be conference contenders. Even though TCU wasted some of that respect with a loss to SMU the following week, their strong defense has people noticing.

The Utes are still favored to win, albeit narrowly, as Vegas has posted a 3 ½ point spread. The game will be televised nationally by ESPN and features a couple of great reasons to watch. First, Utah will try and push the nation’s 2^nd longest winning streak to 19 games. USC is #1 and isn't expected to lose anytime in the near future. Second, this is TCU’s home opener and first ever game in the Mountain West Conference.

This is Utah’s first road game of the season and should be the toughest test thus far. Are the young guys ready to step up in a situation that is bound to present some adversity? Mainly, will Brian Johnson make the right decisions and help Utah’s offense be close to error free? Will Utah’s defense cause enough turnovers to keep TCU’s offense from breaking lose? This game actually has the feel of the New Mexico game last season. New Mexico was featuring a tough defense, the game was on ESPN, and everyone was wondering if Utah would be able to win a big road game. Utah answered the bell in a pretty physical game by winning 28-7. That game vaulted Utah to 6 straight games of scoring 45 or more points. Answering the challenge tonight could also vault this season’s Utes. However, what will happen to the young team and the bandwagon fans if things don’t go Utah’s way?

What will happen? I think Brian Johnson, who set a school record for efficiency in his last game by going 18-21 passing, will be solid and make enough big plays to keep the offense moving. Also, the Utes will actually test TCU’s defense. TCU’s defense is drawing praise for their performance the first two weeks, but I’m not sure we know how good they are. OU had no passing game and the Horned Frogs were able to stack the line of scrimmage to slow Adrian Peterson. SMU is better than in recent years, but also doesn’t possess a potent offense. Utah’s offense is much younger than last year, but is still explosive and features four big playmakers in Brian Johnson, Quinton Ganter (RB), Brent Casteel (RB/WR), and John Madsen (WR). TCU has the talent to win this, especially if QB Tye Gunn is able to play up to his reputation of a dangerous and poised leader. Turnovers will be a key as usual, but I would expect both teams will make a similar number of mistakes. I think this game will be close, but expect Utah to make just enough big plays to hold-on and keep the streak alive. Utah 23, TCU 16.

Mumbling about College Football and an Ex-Ute:

What is going on in Norman Oklahoma? The Sooners lost to TCU and didn’t play very well in beating Tulsa in week 2. This week OU is a 6 ½ point underdog at UCLA. How hard is it to get a QB when you have the national reputation the Sooners have? Apparently Jason White’s 12 years as QB left OU without the focus on recruiting for that position.
Urban Meyer is also in jeopardy of losing his first game in the last two years as Tennessee plays at Florida on Saturday. For all the nay-sayers who have said Urban’s spread offense was gimmicky and wouldn’t work against big time talent, this is a big week.
Notre Dame isn’t crying over losing Urban Meyer. The Fighting Irish are coming off back to back wins under Charlie Wiess and draw Michigan State this week for a chance at 3-0.
From the “I wish you were here, and I bet you do too” category is Steve Savoy. Savoy was a big playmaker and all conference wide receiver for Utah last season. Savoy chose to go pro early, although the never was much of a press conference or explanation as to why he was making that decision. Savoy went undrafted and then made another bad choice by selecting Detroit as the team to attend camp with. Detroit featuring many young high draft selections at wideout was a dead end before he even go there. Savoy was cut and is not playing football on Sundays. Or Saturdays, or even Thursday nights on ESPN.

Battle of the Brothers - Utes and Aggies

2005-09-10T08:05:00.000-06:00

One of the nation's longest rivalries continues when the University of Utah plays Utah State tonight. It hasn't felt like a rivalry lately however, as Utah has won 23 of the last 28 games and comes into this game as a 24 point favorite. That said, you can expect the Aggies to play nothing to lose as new coach Brent Guy looks to shake things up for Utah State.

Utah State was supposed to be playing their second game of the season against Utah. However, due to Hurricane Katrina, Nicholls State was unable to make it Logan and the game was cancelled. This could play in Aggies favor as the Utes have no game film to review on either this year's Aggies or how they might play with their new coach. However, on the flip side the Aggies will have to deal with all those first game jitters while facing a very explosive Utah team. As a result, I expect Utah to hang a couple of early touchdowns on the Aggies and force them to mature in a hurry. The Aggies have a young line backers and that is one position that can bury you against Utah's spread offense. I look for Ganther and QB Johnson to have good nights for the Utes and for the score to be something like 42-17.

'Cats In The Bag

2005-09-06T07:37:00.000-06:00

The Utah Utes pushed the nation's 2nd longest winning streak to 17 games with a 27-24 victory over the Arizona Wildcats. It was closer than some liked, but all in all it was a huge positive as Utah as the guys who they've asked to fill big shoes this year were ready for the task.

The Utes had the 'Cats on the verge of a blowout with 27-10 lead in the third quarter. But, to Arizona's credit, they fought back with two unanswered scoring drives to cut the margin to three points. In fact, they had the ball and were driving towards a tying or winning score when the drive stalled near the Utah 40. With only about three minutes left in the game Arizona coach Mike Stoops opted to punt the ball back to Utah on fourth down instead of going for it. Bad decision? His team had two straight scoring drives to serve as momentum. Utah's running back Quinton Ganther then ripped off two long runs and Utah ate all but about 30 seconds of game clock before pinning Arizona deep in their own territory.

Some Ute Game Mumbles...

Running back Quinton Ganther is in for a big season. He gained 137 yards rushing, 50 yards receiving, and scored one TD. Especially as Utah entertains teams that are less physical than Arizona, Ganther should run them over.
QB Brian Johnson looked awfully nervous early in the game. Luckily, those nerves didn't produce much in the way of bad decisions. As the game wore on his athleticism and decision making showed why Ute fans should be excited. He is no Alex Smith, but he is on his way to being a very good Brian Johnson.
Bad day for the Stoops brothers. Hours before the Utes beat the Mike Stoops led Wildcats, the Bob Stoops led Oklahoma Sooners were upset at home by TCU.
Instant replay is now a Mountain West thing. It didn't take long to try it out either. Early in the game Utah quarterback Brian Johnson was hit while throwing. The ruling on the field was a fumble and Arizona would have been poised for a quick lead. Luckily for Utah and the confidence of their young QB, the play was reversed.
From the "When I say I'm explosive, I mean that I'm explosive" category, Utah freshman Brent Casteel took the ball 59 yards for a touchdown and later make a great catch in traffic. Casteel had taken some heat for being a little young and little over confident when he mentioned something about a future heisman run during an interview. This guy is going to make many a big play in the years to come.

Utes - New Season, New Players, New Result?

2005-09-02T14:46:00.000-06:00

Tonight the University of Utah opens a new season against Pac-10 opponent Arizona and there are many questions about this season's Utes. There are new players, new coaches, new uniforms, and if the NCAA has it's way, at some point a new nickname. As far as on the field results, the Utes are favored by a touchdown to win their 17^th straight football game and at least in game one, expected to fulfill the marketing slogan 'Keep it Rolling.'

When Utah talks about a promise to Keep it Rolling, they are certainly aiming high. Not only did Utah win every game last year and finish ranked #4 in the country, but they demolished virtually every opponent and never were really tested. They had no close games and won by an average score of 45.3 to 19.5. The closest game for the 2004 Utes was a 14 point victory.

Last year, Utah's offense relied on one of the nationÂs most intelligent decision makers in quarterback Alex Smith. Sure the fire and motivation provided by Urban Meyer could be argued as the key component, but Smith gave Utah leadership and efficiency that was unmatched. Utah scored a staggering 93% of the time in the red zone (82% TDs). As Alex was selected number one in the NFL draft, itÂs obvious people noticed the key to the Utes. Meyer was thrown something like $14 Million dollars by the University of Florida, so obviously he has received accolades of his own.

This year's Ute offense will be different as the mesh the spread offense with some of the philosophy of new offensive coordinator Andy Ludwig from Oregon. Also, it's hard not to think the physical mentality that new coach Kyle Wittingham exudes won't also cause some change to the offense. Last year, Utah used a spread offense and a relentless attacking philosophy to bury their opponents. This season, while they'll continue to have a significant amount of the spread offense, we may see them also try to just physically overmatch many of their opponents. New starting QB, Brian Johnson is even more athletic than Alex Smith and while he may not be efficient, Utah's coaches are openly positive about the potential of Johnson and the Ute offense. Another reason for optimism is this year's featured running back Quinton Ganther. Ganther is a very strong runner who will try and pound Ute opponents all season. How strong is he? It has been reported that he can bench a team high weight, something like 435lbs. There is also the ability to play physical at the wide receiver position. Starting wide receiver John Madsen who at 6'5" and 230lbs will be able to punish the smaller corners and is definitely a potential NFL caliber player.

There are also a couple of new names at receiver for fans to follow. First, is a heralded JC transfer Brian Hernandez who has had a great camp in preparing to contribute. Also is one of the most, shall we say confident Utes in Brent Casteel. Castell is a redshirt freshmen who has game breaking ability. So far he has also shown some great quote-ability as he has stated he has goals to be freshman all American and a heisman candidate. Nothing like a little orexuberanceyouthful exeburance.

Why Ute Fans should panic....

Coaching Changes - The Utes have a new head coach, a new offensive coordinator and a new defensive coordinator in addition to other changes of line and assistant coaches. There hasnÂt been a coach make more of a dramatic impact on a college program than Urban Meyer did at Utah the last two seasons. Now long time Ute assistant, Kyle Wittingham gets his chance to lead the Utes. He is in a tough situation, because along with the new QB, will take a lot of heat if the Utes struggle. If the continue last yearÂs success, credit will probably go to Meyer for establishing a great program.

Quarterback - The Utes go from starting a NFL top pick in Alex Smith, to an 18 year old sophomore quarterback in Brian Johnson. Johnson has praise from coaches and teammates, but fans are pretty jumpy about this position. Johnson will have perhaps the most pressure of any Ute and definitely the biggest shoes to fill.

Wide Receivers - The top two wide-outs from last year Paris Warren and Steve Savoy are gone. The Utes are quick to state that they have more depth at the position this season, and while that may be true, it would be surprising for the Utes to have as much production at receiver this year as they received from Warren and Savoy.

Running Backs- Leading rusher Marty Johnson and his 14 rushing TDs are gone. Quinton Ganther takes over, and while demonstrates promise, only rushed for one TD last season. Every is very high on Ganther and he should have a great yardage season, but you canÂt forget the scoring and tough inside running that Marty Johnson produced.

Other Key Players gone - Defensive leaders Marques Ledbetter (injured), Morgan Scalley, Bo Nagahi, Corey Dodds, and Sione Pouha are all gone. Top offensive lineman and Sports Illustrated All-American Chris Kemoeatu is also gone and pursuing a pro career.

What kind of offense will Ute Fans see? In the press we hear things that lead us to believe the Utes will feature an offense similar to last year's offense, but mix in some new things. New Offensive Coordinator, Andy Ludwig, from Oregon has a good offensive reputation but hasn't ever been associated with the spread offense that Utah has run the last two seasons. Further, not only has Urban Meyer left, but the top two offensive gurus Mike Sanford and Dan Mullen are also gone. Is there reason to think Utah will deviate from last year's explosive spread? The Utes who were 3^rd in the country averaging 45.3 last season have been leaking many things that suggest a change. It has been said that the TE will return to UtahÂs offense. Running back Quinton Ganther, who looks like an impressive battering ram type of player, is said to be drawing rave reviews. He is a different style runner and a focus on Ganther could mean more smash mouth type of offense. I would expect games to be closer this season, as a former defensive coordinator in Wittingham, is liable to err on the side of conservatism.

Despite all the questions, Ute fans should be prepared for another great season.

Kyle Wittingham is a competitive and hard nosed guy, who is more interested in winning than re-inventing the wheel. It's for that reason that you think Utah will continue some of the things that made them great last season. Forget about undefeated talk, but the ability to be ranked and win the conference is completely reachable.

The Utes will win because the cliche, "Players win games" is still true and the Utes have the talent to win. Despite the many changes, the replacements at quarterback, running back, wide receiver and on the defensive line all show signs of being more than capable.

If QB Brian Johnson and RB Quinton Ganther live up to the hype, the offense will thrive again up on the hill. The defense has questions at linebacker but the secondary and defensive line will both be very strong.

Want to follow the Utes?

Want to laugh and hear great coverage about the University of Utah? 1280 the Zone has a show each week day from 10am-1pm local time, called "The Red and Blue". It is hosted by former BYU and Utah players and features non stop rivalry banter by the hosts and the callers.

Utah games are carried by Hot Ticket 700. They also features some great afternoon coverage by Matt Thomas and Bill Riley.

The best Ute Fans site on the net? Clear the best is www.utefans.net . The message board, the pictures, and Ute content is unmatched.

Will Arizona let the Cat out of the Bag? Will they spoil Utah's season before it begins? Have they said enough to actually convince themselves they can win? Sure Arizona comes from the Pac-10 and they are feeling optimistic both about their second year under Mike Stoops and the fact that they played Utah pretty tough last year, but they shouldn't get over confident. For one, Utah will sell out the game and will be pretty tough at home. The Utes are 4-2 against the Pac-10 the last four years and are favored by a touchdown to keep the trend going. It is true that the Wildcats played Utah tough last season and that their own turnovers hurt them. It is also true that Utah just started the season and wasn't clicking either.

I expect Arizona to have trouble scoring more than 20 points against Utah, and I have a hard time not seeing Utah get at least 3 TDs against the Âcats. I expect Utah to win a relatively close game, by last seasonÂs standards anyway, and get their 17^th straight victory 27-17.

Alex Smith is no dummy

2005-04-22T14:59:00.000-06:00

Okay by now we know that Alex Smith graduated in only two years and had a 3.74 grade point average. We know that he has a great reputation for breaking down game film and knowing his opponents. We know that he was able to grasp one of college football's most complex offenses and then take that understanding into battle in a near flawless display of decision making.

We also know that he broke the hearts of many Ute fans by declaring for the NFL draft. Not only did he break hearts, but to some he did the wrong thing. He made a quick, self-serving decision that was probably based on the euphoria of leading the Utes to a great season, more than it was on sound reasoning. Right? I mean cmon, Alex is great but he isnt going to go that early in the draft. Why did he leave early? Why not get better, stronger, and go pro later?

What? What's that? Well, then all of a sudden we heard what Alex already knew. He would be a first round draft pick. More than that, he'd go in the top 10. Some fools even said, top 5 or even #1. No way are we getting caught up with that #1 overall non-sense, but wow, seriously first round? Alex must know something afterall.

Now of course, even we know that reality. Alex Smith could very well go number one in the entire draft, and if not, will almost certainly be number two. The 49ers who own the first pick have even been negotiating with Alex, although his unwillingness to sign for less than market value may drop him out of the number one spot. We also hear rumors about teams faking interest and maybe the 49ers are playing games to set themselves up to trade the pick.

Given all that we now know, perhaps its possible that Alex Smith could be the one playing some good cards in all this pre-draft smoke screening. Either he'll negotiate a great deal, one better than Eli Manning signed last year, or perhaps he'll cause San Francisco to let him drop to #2. Number two would mean he lands in Miami and would work with much heralded coach Nick Saban. Who knows, maybe Miami might be the better place for Alex afterall. Perhaps, Alex has this figured out as well and is on his way to making more of the right decisions.

Lastly, we've heard repeatedly that there are no absolute "must haves" in this draft and its weaker than some recent drafts. That fact in itself could speak even more to Alex's strong decision making. Knowing that this would be a so-called weaker draft, meant this was the perfect time for Alex to come out. He went pro when he was at the peak of his college career, and enters the NFL draft at a time when there is lack of mega stars who would take the top draft positions away. Smart move. And to think, he won't even be 21 years old until two weeks after the draft. Hold the Champagne!

After the first few picks of Saturday's NFL draft, we'll know just how smart Alex is. Good luck Alex.

Majerus to become a Hoosier?

2005-04-20T20:36:00.000-06:00

The latest on Rick Majerus: The Indiana University coaching rumor, his new Denver Nuggets Position, and a must read Majerus website.

Okay, first I think the rumor of Majerus going to Indiana may have been around for a while, however, I will be honest and say it was new to me as of this week.

( Photo/AP )

A local sports radio host for 1320AM KFAN, Steve Brown, on his morning show Steve and the Booner stated that he heard from some people close to the situation that Rick Majerus to Indiana was a possibility. Back when Rick signed with USC, the rumor was that Indiana told Majerus that Mike Davis wasnt long for Hoosierland, and therefore in addition to the health concerns, that Rick was convinced it was in his best interests to bail on USC and wait. Wait for better health, wait for the right job in the Midwest, wait for the chance to go to a true basketball mecca, and wait for Indiana University. Any truth to that?

WellId say maybe some. Was Indiana actually the reason that Rick backed out of the Trojans job? I would say no, but the idea of someone like Indiana coming along might have played a role. Id venture a guess that Indiana University had no contact with Rick Majerus after he signed his contract with USC. However, I think Rick might have had second thoughts genuinely about his health and also in the back of his mind wondered how much longer it would be until one of the "Big jobs" in the Midwest opened up. Big jobs is a pretty short list and the members of which are only open to speculation, but perhaps anyone in the Big Ten qualifies, along with Marquette.

There have been recent rumors of Majerus going to Depaul. It was those rumors that brought the Indiana rumor to my attention. It doesnt help that as nice of a guy as Mike Davis is, Indiana has struggled mightily under him and reports are that he will be working on a final season of do it now or else ultimatum. If Hoosier faithful could deal with Bobby Knight, they could certainly deal with Rick Majerus, who is strong willed, but hardly the volatile guy that Knight was. In terms of Depaul, if this was the program that Joey Meyer ran years ago, then I'd say maybe. However, I have a hard time seeing him going to Depaul to be the guy to bring long term stability and to resurrect a lost program. Not that there isn't some of that to do at Indiana, but the prestige, conference, talent, and appearance on the national radar all make it much more appealing.

There seems to be some negativity around Rick since he dropped USC. Understandable. The question remains, is this guy still good for college ball? Should a big school like IU take a chance on Big Rick? I think Indiana would do itself a great service by bringing in Majerus. He would instantly upgrade the type of players that come to Hoosierville, and hed probably get them back to competing for the conference crown in a relatively short period. Majerus left Utah after a great run, but in truth, after 15 years in a hotel up on the hill above Salt Lake City, things had run their course. I still believe that college basketball would benefit by having Rick back involved, that's not to say that Mike Davis isnt a terrific person who makes the world better in his own way. Id vote for letting Davis finish the upcoming season, his last year under contract, all while letting Majerus take another year to improve his health. After the next season, allow the marriage to take place.

As long as we are talking about Majerus, lets look at his recent Mile High Adventure-
The latest news with Rick is that he took a 5-day term as the self described new food and beverage director of the Denver Nuggets last week. Eat, drink and be Majerus, as Aaron J. Lopez of the Rocky Mountain News said in his recent article. Majerus and Nuggets coach George Karl are great friends and have always been basketball confidants. What could be better for Majerus than spending a week with former Ute standout Andre Miller and his basketball buddy George Karl?

Finally, a Majerus must read is the Completely Unauthorized Rick Majerus Site complete with funny quotes and even a Majerus Driving Tour of Milwaukee.

Bogut is gone, now what?

2005-04-15T14:25:00.000-06:00

Andrew Bogut has cleaned out his locker, and packed up all his prestigous awards and headed off into the sunset. Well, okay, he has headed off to train and prepare for the NBA draft and should in theory be back in town next fall when his future NBA team plays the Jazz. However, his void at the University of Utah will be felt. Unless, something crazy occurred, say...

....the NBA establishes an age limit of 21, just to spite Jermaine O'Neal and others who complained at the suggested limit of 20. The result is several college players will be forced to rescind their NBA intentions and return to school, including Andrew Bogut, Chris Paul, as well as the entire North Carolina Tarheel team. Okay, wiping the drool and waking up....

Bogut grabs the biggest individual prize, the John Wooden award (below) and looks forward to professional basketball.

(Photo by Reed Saxon, Associated Press)

So Bogut is gone, now what?

Well this week in addition to the open lockers left my Andrew Bogut and Marc Jackson, the Utes also announced that starting forward Justin Hawkins was leaving the team. No official statement as to the reason for the departure was given, however its being bantered around that there were a variety of internal conflicts and disagreements, including some rumors of involvement from Papa Hawkins. While it hasn't been said, one can only surmise that someone must have been unhappy about their role in the offense. If he was unhappy being a role player to Bogut and company during the season, to his credit he didn't say a peep to the press.

(Photo by August Miller,Deseret News)

Why would Hawk want to leave? Perhaps he was told to go home and work on free throws (only 58% this year), outside shooting (zero 3 pointers), and conditioning, as the Utes will feature more pressing and up-tempo style next season. There might have been something in there somewhere that he didn't like. Giving in to the urge to comment on rumored reasons of one's unhappiness, I have to say the loss of Hawkins will hurt most in the toughness category, but that his offensive numbers can be made up elsewhere. You can't bag on Hawk though, he brought effort every game and was a team player. Hopefully he lands on his feet somewhere and gets a chance to continue his development. My fear is that, he won't be as successful in the starring role, as he was operating as a role player receiving the help of Bogut and Jackson.

For good measure, and as long as the revolving doors were still spinning...Out went backup guard Jermaine Calvin and backup forward Jake Schmidt. While Calvin had quickness, his 5'9 size and lack of a reliable outside shot probably meant limited contributions from him in the near future. Schmidt was an easy decision, as didn't score in only 14 minutes of game time during his freshman year.

The combination of losing those three starters at once leaves a huge hole and would seem to signal that next season's Utes will be making a giant U-Turn from the good fortune and success they experienced this year. However, the conversation around the U is hardly one that would indicate the sky is falling. Instead, the Utes are announcing some strong incoming players and at least floating the words of "depth" and "potential" as coach Ray Giacolletti hopes to get the deep up-tempo team he desires.

We'll focus more on the newcomers later, but in a brief summary I offer some quick mumbles..

- Misha Radojevic, a 6-10" low post player from Serbia, comes in with two years of eligibility and is described a "tough kid" by Ray Giacoletti.
- Luke Nevill, a 7'0" redshirt freshman from Australia looks to continue the Aussie dominance of the center position for the Utes. Andrew Bogut even said that Nevill "has a lot more potential than I had at that age..".
- Shaun Green, a 6'8" forward from Salt Lake City who is one of the top Utah recruits of the year.
- Johnnie Bryant, a transfer point guard, and Ricky Johns, a shooting guard fill out the list of incoming players.

For now, Ute fans will keep their focus on the NBA draft. I recommend CollegeHoopsNet.com as a great resource on both college basketball as well as the upcoming draft. As of this moment, the good folks at CHN have Andrew Bogut and Chris Paul as their 5 STAR draft prospects. Check it out!

East Coast Bias, broken by AP

2005-04-01T11:39:00.000-07:00

The AP has spoken, and as one would have guessed based on their All America team that was previously announced, Andrew Bogut is the AP Player of the year.

Credit the AP for recognizing a player that didn't play basketball in the Eastern part of the United States. Bogut is the first player in the west to win the award since Sean Elliott of Arizona was honored back in 1989. Not to perpetuate the East coast bias, but two players in 16 years is kind of hard to dispute.

Andrew Bogut is the first player from the University of Utah to ever win the award.

The Adolph Rupp Trophy for the nation's best player was also just announced and it went to Duke's J.J. Redick. It should be noted this award is given by the Commonwealth Athletic Club of Kentucky, who awarded their award to a Duke player for the 4th time in 7 years. Further evidence that the Commonwealth Club either needs cable TV or a later bedtime, is that their award except for Elliott in 1989, hasn't gone to a player from the west since 1977 (Marques Johnson - UCLA).

Final Voting Results for AP Player of the year

Player of year voting
Player	School	Votes
Andrew Bogut	Utah	31
J.J. Redick	Duke	15
Wayne Simien	Kansas	9
Dee Brown	Illinois	5
Hakim Warrick	Syracuse	4
Sean May	North Carolina	3
Chris Paul	Wake Forest	2
Francisco Garcia	Louisville	1
Luther Head	Illinois	1
Salim Stoudamire	Arizona	1

Andrew Bogut officially packs his bags

2005-03-28T16:20:00.000-07:00

Andrew Bogut made the announcement everyone expected today. He is leaving the University of Utah after his 2nd year to declare himself eligible for the NBA.

Bogut was as polished and mature as he has been all year long. He also announced that he had retained Dave Bauman of SFX sports to be his agent, so there is no going back. Andrew also, announced a parting gift for the University of Utah, in the form of a $125,000 donation for a new locker room.

Andrew Bogut was a class act and he'll be missed. Good Luck Andrew!

How will Andrew do in the Pros?
I think one on one he had little to no trouble with anyone. The 7'3" guy from Kentucky gave him a mild problem, but then Bogues figured him out and went around him twice from top of key. Without 3 guys on him, he would have done more. It's hard to pick on his numbers, but those of us who got to see him often, know that he is a team player who did not force shots or break the offense to get his numbers. In the NBA he'll make those around him better and probably not face as many creative zones and triple team combinations.

I am not sure he'll be superstar in the NBA, but as I follow the NBA pretty close as a part of the Utah Jazz Column on the Most Valuable Network, I do know that it is very hard to find good big men in the NBA. I think he could be an all-star level at that position within a couple years. After the O'Neals there is a lot of room in the league at Center position. Yao is good, but his level seems more than obtainable, for Bogut in that Bogut should rebound as well, shoot with a little more range, be a little more mobility, and should pass better than Yao.

Honestly, I haven't broken down the other players going into draft, so I'm not going to proclaim Bogut as #1 overall...but I would expect Bogut to be top 5 draft pick, have a long good career, and his international experience probably means he is more ready for the pro game at this moment than most of the other college kids coming out. His immediate area of improvement, would just be more strength. Bogut already has good hands in that he catches almost everything, but probably could get stronger in his upper body that would allow him to be even stronger going to the basket.

March Gladness Update: Utah-Kentucky preview

2005-03-25T08:40:00.000-07:00

Tonight the 6th seeded, University of Utah battles the 3rd seed, Kentucky Wildcats in the Austin region of the NCAA tournament.

Utah 29-5 VS Kentucky 27-5

If you read a story about this game is will probably consist of talk about how great Andrew Bogut is and Kentucky's goal of stopping him, or you'll hear how Kentucky has beaten the Utes 5 straight times in the NCAA tournament since 1993. I don't disagree with either point, Andrew Bogut is great and a key, and yes Kentucky has beaten the Utes in the tournament before, but there are other things to consider.

Utah and Kentucky Mumblings....

Kentucky is the favorite to win. Although, not the way they might have been favored in previous seasons. Vegas only has the Wildcats favored by 4 1/2 points.
These are pretty young teams, given their place in the tournament. The two teams combine to start only two seniors.
McDonalds knows more than Super Sized Meals. For a high school player there isn't many accolades higher than being named to the McDonald's all-American team. Super sized players usually go to the top basketball schools. In this case, Kentucky had one of the best recruiting classes in the country last year, netting a whopping three Big Macs in one year. Two of those guys, Guard Rajon Rando and Center Randolph Morris start as freshman. Utah, has at least three guys who ate at McDonalds this week.
A good start to the game and rebounding could be keys to Utah's success. On the season, the Utes are 29-1 when leading at halftime and 28-3 when out rebounding their opponent.
Kentucky has a legendary NCAA history. Utah, however, isn't exactly a slouch. This is the Utes 9th appearance in the Sweet 16 since 1975.
The media is making a huge deal over the fact that Kentucky plays up to 13 players per game. The assertion is that Kentucky has so much talent and depth that they can force a tempo and a high scoring game that Utah cannot adapt to. The counterpoint would be, if Kentucky had its usual NBA caliber talent the starters would play more. As far as high scoring, this Wildcat team only scores five points more per game than Utah (73.5-68.4).
Kentucky has lost 5 games this season, all of them to quality opponents: Florida (twice), North Carolina, Kansas, and South Carolina.
The only common opponent for the Utes and Wildcats is the Coppin State Eagles. Speaking of Coppin St., they seemed to be everybody's tune up team this year and they played 7 NCAA teams: Utah, Kentucky, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Pittsburgh, Texas, and Delaware St.

Why Utah will win
For starters, Kentucky lost to Florida twice, who lost to LSU, who lost to Utah.

A couple of other considerations. Utah turns the ball over a lot (14 per game) which could allow Kentucky to take advantage. However, Kentucky also turns the ball over a lot (13 per game) and so one area that may have been a big Wildcat advantage may not play out like the experts expect. Bogut will impact the game, but Kentucky will make such an effort to stop him, he may not have a big scoring day. However, his presence will open the door for the other Utes to hit some shots. Unlike some past years, these guys can and should be able to seize the opportunity.
For Kentucky to win, they will have to make some outside shots. Oklahoma and UTEP couldn't and they lost. In fact, most of Utah's opponents have not. However, New Mexico had some strong outside shooting games when they beat Utah twice this season. Unlike other experts, I don't see fatigue being the key issue. I do think Kentucky will try and get Bogut tired, but I think fouls are more important. If Bogut and Marc Jackson stay out of foul trouble, the Utes will be better than Kentucky at the two most important positions and have a chance to win.

March Gladness continues

2005-03-22T15:12:00.000-07:00

The Big dance is no longer "big" in terms of number of teams playing, but is "big" in that only 16 teams are still playing. The University of Utah stunned #3 seed Oklahoma 68-57 to get their invitation to the sweet 16 and a date with Kentucky on Friday in Austin, Texas.

The Utes did so with perhaps their most balanced effort of the season. Andrew Bogut killed the Sooners with his passing, rather than by posting his normal 20 points per game. You had to really appreciate Bogut's patience in this game. Most top scorers in the country would have been forcing things to try and get their shots. Bogut did not score for over 8 minutes at the start of the game and didn't reach double figures until about a minute was left in the game. Bogut only took 7 shots the entire game, making four and scoring 10 points. If you didn't see the game you'd assume that Oklahoma shut him down and limited his touches. The opposite was true. OU did swarm Bogut on every possession, but he was still able to get touches and do something with the ball. Instead of recklessly attacking the double and triple teams, he did what few 7 footers can, and took a few dribbles and passed to a variety of cutting teammates. Along the way he picked up 7 assists and several other passes led to baskets, fouls, or a missed layup.

You cannot minimize the fact that Bogut picked-up his teammates. However, when he gave them the opportunity, they seized it in a big way. A couple of these guys are pretty fearless, which I can't say was a mark of recent Ute teams. Justin Hawkins, and Bryant Markson have been complimentary players, but they both willingly attacked the basket when given the opportunity. In addition, despite the media's clamoring over Bogut, none of this gets done without PG Marc Jackson. He has been terrific and isn't just getting it done only on the offensive end of the floor, he has shown the ability to slow down the speedy guards like Utep's Riviera and OU's Lavender and Godbold. As long as we are spreading credit around, I do believe coach Ray Giacoletti deserves a lot of credit both for keeping the team loose and full of confidence, but also his decision to move Bogut to the high post where he could distribute to his teammates.

As you might expect, the media attention is raining down on the Utes and Andrew Bogut in particular. Some that you may or may not have seen:

Tim Dahlberg, AP Writer, wrote a nice piece about Bogut and included the strong statement,
"..if Bogut isn't everybody's player of the year, something is wrong with the balloting. If he's not the first pick in the NBA draft in June, some general manager is sleeping."
Jim O'Connell, AP Writer, announced that Bogut is the leading vote-getter on the AP All-America team. Bogut joins players who are from college basketball's elite programs - Kansas (W. Simien), Syracuse (Hakim Warrick), Duke (JJ Redick) and Wake Forest (Chris Paul). O'Connell mades a strong point when he said,
"Bogut was the only member of the first team not to have received any recognition after last season. In fact, he was the only one of the five not to have been at least an honorable mention selection in the preseason All America balloting. Now Bogut is considered a sure lottery pick, and the possible top pick, if he decides to declare for the NBA draft".
Joe Beatty, Utah Chronicle, offers a good recap of Utah-Oklahoma game. Joe also mentions a great statistic about turnovers, by saying that Utah had 21 turnovers, and,
"the Sooners committed a season-low seven, and were 20-1 this season when winning the turnover battle.."

The Utes draw the Wildcats on Friday night with a chance to become a part of the Elite Eight. Certainly followers of the Ute program did not expect a season like this on the heals of Rick Majerus' departure and starting the season with a new coach. However, the Ute fans, much like Majerus who picked OU to beat the Utes before the game, didn't know Giac!

Utes seeking March Gladness

2005-03-18T09:13:00.000-07:00

The University of Utah squeaked by UTEP 60-54 in round one of the NCAA tournament. For the Utes it was like a road game, as many of the UTEP faithful made the trip to Tucson. The Utes came back from an early deficit, and then gave up a big lead of their own, to hold on for a win. The game actually went about like I envisioned, even down to my predicted final margin of victory (5-6) although the ending was more tense than I expected. Andrew Bogut was terrific and received just enough help at the end to get it done.

Next up, the Oklahoma Sooners. I get the sense that many Utah fans and the media that covers the Utes aren't giving Utah much of a chance at this point. Well, if you look at the schedules of the two teams, it becomes clear what will happen....

Utah and Oklahoma share four common opponents. Both schools beat Coppin St., Northern Colorado, and High Point. Please don't ask me where those schools are because I would only say..... Coppin is not a state that I know of, unless it's some small north eastern state hidden around Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine, that none of us out west remember from geography class. Northern Colorado, I'd only venture to guess is in some small obscure city north of Denver, no wait that is Colorado State which is in Fort Collins and since there isn't a north and south Colorado like Carolina or Dakota, I'm at a loss...,....and High Point, for lack of a better guess, I would say they should be in some mountainous region maybe in Northern Montana. Okay, refocusing now. Both OU and Utah lost to their other common opponent, Washington. Utah and Oklahoma are also teams that generally win games they are supposed to win. All five of Utah's losses are to tournament teams, and six of the seven OU losses came to tournament teams. That one loss is the one that makes this whole thing clear. The Sooners lost to Missouri, which finished just below .500 this season. Missouri lost to UNLV. Utah beat UNLV three times, so its clear Utah will win.

Using the same logic, Utah should win the National title. That poor Illinois squad lost their only game to Ohio State by one point. That opened the door for the consideration that Ohio State lost to Creighton who lost to Wyoming. Utah beat Wyoming twice. Clearly this isn't March Madness it's March Gladness for Utah.

Seriously, with regard to the Sooners, they look to be very high powered. Strong back court and two big guys to battle Bogut down low. Deep bench of athletes and an extra big guy or two. That might be just the combination to slow Bogut and the Utes. However, keep in mind some of Bogut's best games came against Colorado St., which boasts three 7-footers and was the biggest team in the league. Also, while OU has many good players, I am not sure there is one that is NBA bound on this roster right now. Utah will have to do some obvious things to compete in this game: Control the tempo, hit a few of the open three pointers when OU sags in on Bogut, and keep turnovers within reason. To do that Utah will need the support players to make more of an impact than they did against UTEP.

Despite all my impenetrable logic, Vegas says OU is a 5 point favorite. I think that feels about right.

Midweek Sports Mumbling....

2005-03-16T22:26:00.000-07:00

Tomorrow the Big Dance starts and the Utes are in Tucson getting ready for a 1:15 local tipoff against UTEP. However, despite the basketball team being away from Campus there was still a lot going on up on the hill.

Alex Smith held his personal workout day in front of more than 60 NFL scouts and coaches. Charles Robinson of Yahoo! Sports gushes over Alex's performance in his write up today. He stated that Alex did so well that he has likely vaulted himself to the top of the draft board. This is amazing, but great news. Cal's QB Aaron Rodgers will have his personal day tomorrow and attempt to steal the spotlight. Right now its looking like Alex Smith, Aaron Rodgers, Braylon Edwards (Michigan), Michael Williams (USC) and perhaps Cedric Benson (Texas) are vying to be the top 5 picks in the draft.

Back to Tucson...

The Utes are either a darkhorse to make a run to the sweet sixteen, or a prime candidate to be knocked off. Top college basketball analysts are offering both opinions with nearly equal frequency. On one side you have the school of thought that the school with the best big man and best guard is the team that wins. Utah looks great to those people with Bogut and Mark Jackson. On the other side of the fence are those that suggest the Utes haven't played great talent and will fall when the do.

I looked for, but didn't not see any common opponents for UTEP and Utah. I did see both schools playing several patsies:
Utah: Stony Brook, High Point, Furman, Montana Western, and Coppin State.
UTEP: Panhandle St. (seriously), Occidental, IPFW, Jackson St., and Delaware State.

I expect UTEP to keep it close with their athleticism. I don't know much about them, but I think their choice of defense will be important. If they play a zone, it will be good and bad for them. They will do so to battle Andrew Bogut, but if they do, they will sacrifice the tempo they need to win. Despite their good foul shooting, I think they will get handled on the glass and lose a low scoring game. If they don't play zone, and rely on double teams to handle Bogut, they will probably fail to stop him, but may win because of the tempo. It will be interesting to see their choice. I see a close game with Utah winning by 5-6 points.

Sports Mumbling, March 15th

2005-03-15T00:15:00.000-07:00

This is one of the great times of the sporting year no doubt. March Madness is upon us, the NBA enters the final quarter of the season, baseball is at spring training, and Golf's show piece, the Masters is drawing near. While I'm not keenly aware, I'm sure there are exciting things going on in tennis, soccer, professional fishing and Nascar right now too. Too bad the NHL is only in the news for not having any. Anyway, I mumble on....

First about the University of Utah.....

The University of Utah stumbled slightly in the Mountain West Conference Championship against New Mexico. However, I think we need to break out of the negative mindset. It was a terrific game to watch. New Mexico is playing well and Danny Granger is terrific right now.
A note about the Utes loss, was that Bryant Markson was competing and trying to help the Utes win, despite dealing with the deal of an Aunt to whom he was really close. He missed the funeral to be with the team, but instead of traveling home with the team, went straight to be with his family. Hang in there Bryant!
Utah's 6th seeding is the highest ever for the Mountain West Conference. Remember however that the league is all of about six years old.
Utah's first round game against UTEP is anything but a gimmee. UTEP rolls in with a 27-7 record and has the athleticism to win against the Utes. Not saying they will, but they could.
If Utah were fortunate to get to the sweet sixteen they'd probably be playing....who else, but Kentucky. Kentucky seems to be the team to knockout the Utes every year.
Maybe you didn't know.....All 5 Utah losses came against NCAA tournament teams (Washington, Arizona, Utah St, and New Mexico-twice) and on the road. That means it takes a quality team to beat the Utes. The Utes did beat tournament teams: LSU and New Mexico.
Utah outscored 26 of 29 regular season opponents in the 2nd half.
A Utah win over UTEP could bring a matchup with Oklahoma in the 2nd round. As Utah was hoping to play the Sooners in football and didn't get the shot, this might be at least a small consolation prize.
ESPN has a good wrap-up of Utah's season available for all to see.

More Mumblings...

Ever notice that much ado is made about all the team's on the bubble for the NCAA tournament. It is interesting to see who gets in, but really how often do those teams make any dent in the tournament. Of course, I'm speaking from the vantage point of a #6 seed, University of Utah fan.
Carlos Boozer won't be in Cleveland when the Jazz make their first visit there since acquiring him. The Cleveland fans are still pretty chapped over the whole thing and you don't have to look hard for a group of Cav fans who are still steaming. I wish Carlos was healthy enough to play and get this behind him. All the drama aside, the chance to see Lebron James makes the game something to look forward to.
I bet you aren't up to date on the USPPBA. You know, the United States Perforated Plastic Ball Association. You know, The Wiffle Ball League? Yeah, there is a such a thing. Their website requires registration to see much, but its kind of interesting. Here are other two sites I recommend. First, www.wiffle.com, is your place to get wiffle balls, equipment, and souvenirs. Second, Major League Wiffleball, is a great site with statistics, standings, wiffle ball rules, and a connection to some major league baseball players. So if you want to swing big without the aid of Steroids and the intense media glare that comes from the big leagues, go back to the basics and play some wiffleball!

The Utah Jazz Blog has moved

2005-03-14T23:04:00.000-07:00

As you may have noticed on this blog, I've also been keeping a Utah Jazz Blog, and re-posting some of the entries here. About a week ago, I was invited and accepted, to move the Jazz Blog to the Most Valuable Network. I'm excited to be apart of the growing and committed team at MVN. Please come check it out:

ALL THAT JAZZ

Andrew Bogut is ESPN's player of the year

2005-03-04T14:48:00.000-07:00

It has been a great year for the University of Utah Athletic Department, and it just became even better. Andrew Bogut was just named ESPN.com's National Player of the year today. ESPN also announced it's Men's College Basketball All American team, which included Bogut, Chris Paul (Wake Forest), JJ Redick (Duke), Wayne Simien (Kansas), and Sean May (North Carolina).

As Bogut is definately leaving Utah after this season to go to the NBA, the Utes will have a player in the top 5 of the NFL (Alex Smith) and NBA drafts in the same season, with rumors of each going as high as number one overall.

(photo from ESPN.com; taken by Levine)

Arroyo is gone, but the talk continues

2005-03-04T13:17:00.000-07:00

They say the month of March comes "in like a Lion"......instead I think I'll come in with "I hate to whine about the whiners who are whining about old news, but I can't resist, and must get it off my chest so I'll beat it to death with a big stick".

Therefore, my Whiney Sports Mumbling Rant...

I keep reading articles in the Salt Lake Papers about Carlos Arroyo and how the Jazz miss him and how great he is doing for Detroit (reference, Jo-Ann Barnas article for Detroit Free Press picked up and ran in Salt Lake this week). I've even read opinions sent in to the newspapers and other online sites by fans who hate the trade of Arroyo and are mad at the Jazz and mad at Coach Sloan in particular. The point they are missing, and missing, and missing (they could stop shooting and missing at that point, but since Carlos hasn't stopped, why should they), and missing....is Detroit is asking him to be a part-time helper. In Detroit he is a back-up and averaging only 18 minutes per game. In Utah, the Jazz thought he was the man who could embrace the team's philosophy, lead the team, play heavy minutes (35 per game), and basically make those around him better. Truth is, he did not play well this year, despite the contract and faith the Jazz put in him. Truth is, he got on the wrong side of Coach Sloan, and while some of that may have been Jerry's fault and this league at times may be run by the players, the Jazz never have been. He was woefully immature and continues to complain that no one talked to him, as if, Carlos had no idea where Coach Sloan's office was. I for one am tired of reading his quotes and tired of all the fans who continue to push this side of things. Its a team game, but Carlos chose to make it about him and didn't like the result. I've said a million times...I'd rather lose with the right guys than win with the wrong ones. If it took giving in to a player who demanded kid gloves and special treatment to win, I'd rather lose. Is Carlos a bad guy? Whoa, that's not the point. I liked Carlos and enjoyed the good times while he was here, but unlike great players in this league he didn't fight through adversity. He isn't as valuable as people make it seem, and to hint that he means more to the Jazz than Sloan (as many have done) is idiotic.

To Carlos I say,

"take care Carlos, may you end up better than the other guys who left thinking they could do better outside the Jazz system (see: Shandon Anderson, Howard Eisley, DeShawn Stevenson, etc) . I'd like to send some of your Utah fan supporters with you, but you know how they are...fickle, as soon as they see that the grass isn't greener, they'll be bagging on you in no time."

My guess is with the recent improvement of the Jazz and Keith McLeod, and Arroyo's failure to really change the fact that only 5-6 guys on the Pistons really carry the load, that this issue will die down. Come next summer when the Jazz have the money from the Arroyo contract to spend elsewhere and an extra first round draft pick, people will be glad the Jazz held to their principles and really evaluated the situation for what it was.

In the spirit of statistical overkill, and to convince those that still wish to argue the over value of Carlos Arroyo, I offer the numbers below (thanks to the www.82games.com for the +/-). The result is that both teams, Utah and Detroit, have been better while Carlos is on the bench.

+/- points
Carlos in Utah (this year): -7.3
Carlos in Detroit: -6.4
Keith McLeod (Utah Starter): +2.5
Chauncey Billups (Detroit Starter): +4.9

Shooting %
Carlos in Utah (last year): 44.1%
Carlos in Utah (this year): 40.1%
Carlos in Detroit: 39.0%

Minutes Played - per game
Carlos in Utah (last year): 28.3 mins
Carlos in Utah (this year): 24.7 mins
Carlos in Detroit: 18.7 mins

To assert that Arroyo and his 39% shooting and 18 minutes per game is the reason, or even a critical influence, for Detroit's hot streak (winning 8 of 10) makes only slightly more sense to me than heaping extra praise on the hot dog vendors at Auburn Hills. I mean yes technically they are there, and yes in some remote way they are making an impact on the things inside the building, but its really only a coincidence that they are associated with the Pistons at a time when they are rolling.

Whew, all better now. Until the next article...

(Originally Blogged on the Utah Jazz Blog)

Sports Mumbling, March 3rd

2005-03-03T20:42:00.000-07:00

Sports Mumbling on March 3rd...

New Ute Hoop Rankings- Now 15th (coaches) and 16th (media) ranked in the country. Based on what I've seen this year, those rankings feel about right. Sports Illustrated has them at #17 in their power rankings, by Luke Winn.
I give credit to "Ancient Ute" who posted a 'Historical trend for Utah Basketball' on the utefans.net website. His report (click here), shows that the Utes have only had 6 losing seasons in the last 50 years.
Ute center Andrew Bogut has his own blog, "Awesome Aussie". Its not too bad, although he is certainly much better on the court than he is online. Some good stuff in there, but don't buy into the bit about him having a pet crocodile and kangaroo as he stated on Jan 23rd!
Looking to move to Utah this spring? I think Karl Malone's house is still for sale. Better hurry and jump on it though, it looks like the price has dropped to a mere $5.75 M.
The Jazz have won 3 in a row, and go for 4 against the Hornets in New Orleans. The Jazz would win by 15-20 right now in Utah, but momentum and the road atmosphere probably makes this a game. I'm not a big Byron Scott fan (coach of the Hornets), so I can't say their struggles bother me.
One part about the Hornets I like, is the point guard Dan Dickau. He has taken over for the oft injured and finally traded Baron Davis. Dickau is a point guard who shares the ball, and is thinking about others when on the floor. He is probably going to earn himself some cash as he is a free agent this summer and only going to get better. If you are a rumor monger, remember that the Jazz will have cash to spend, have an unsettled point guard position, and Dickau went to Gonzaga, which coincidently was the same school as John Stockon. A little more you ask...remember that Stockton used to go home to Gonzaga for pickup games and played many times with Dickau.

Jazz Find rhythm in Houston

2005-02-28T12:40:00.000-07:00

Thanks to a big fourth quarter from Raja Bell, Mehmet Okur, and Matt Harpring, the Utah Jazz surged past the Houston Rockets for a 99-92 victory in Houston Sunday afternoon.

The Jazz have had trouble in the 4th quarter of games. Coming into the Houston game, Utah was 6-21 on the road. Starting the 4th quarter with a tie score seemed to be pointing the direction of many games this year. Good effort, but not good enough to win. Instead of wilting, Memo scored 9 points in the 4th Quarter, Bell 7, and Harpring 8 as the Jazz seemed to either make every shot or get an offensive rebound on each miss in the fourth quarter. There were a couple of 'you had to see it' type shots in the fourth quarter as well. One was a reverse by Kirilenko, when he got caught under the backboard he reached his long arm out and quickly flipped it back into the basket. He made it look almost effortless, but the truth is there aren't many guys in the league who could have done it. Moments later, Mehmet Okur drove the baseline and was fouled hard, but with a showing of great strength, flipped it over his head with his left hand and into the basket. The Jazz took advantage of a couple of bounces and combined that with beating the Rockets in the effort and energy departments of rebounding and defense.

For the Rockets, McGrady was terrific in the first quarter, but didn't have as much pep over the final three quarters. The new guy Mike James played hard till then end and scored 19 points, making just enough 3-pointers in the 4th quarter to keep the Rockets within shouting distance. Perhaps I miss something, but I just don't understand why a 7'6" player like Yao Ming only gets 10 shot attempts against the Jazz who don't have a player over 6'11". Is Yao not aggressive enough in demanding the ball or getting position? Or is it, what appears to be a team that overall has questionable shot selection and doesn't appear to be running an offense most of the time? I know that normal point guard Bob Sura was out with an injury, so perhaps that was the problem in lack of offensive sets and touches for Yao. Lets hope so.

On this Day in the NBA- Houston Style: Feb 28, 1981 Calvin Murphy set the record for most consecutive made free throws with 78 (against San Diego). This record was later broken by Michael Williams of Minnesota and pushed all the way to 97 (in 1993). Murph still holds the record for highest FT percentage for a season at .958 (1980-81 season).

There is also a great write-up of this game in the Houston Chronicle (click the link), that includes sharp comments by McGrady, Jon Barry, and Van Gundy. Also, in keeping with the trend of looking for the best blogs for the opponent, I point you to the Houston Rockets Fan Blog.

(Originally blogged at the Utah Jazz Blog)

Jazz Win.....the 1st half. Celts take game 109-102

2005-02-26T16:38:00.000-07:00

The Utah Jazz are very disjointed right now. There is no other way to look at it. The effort is there more times than not, but the lack of a consistent line-up mainly due to health issues, means this team just hasn't come together.

Things were going pretty well...for the first half. The Jazz enjoyed a 55-49 lead over Boston, and with all the jump shots you'd expect the likes of Pierce, Walker and Davis to jack-up in the 2nd half you could easily see this lead ballooning with easy lay-ups coming off the fast break. However, this season has been anything but predictable, but then again maybe something is predictable. Vanishing leads. The Celtics while still firing jumpers all over the court, also found their way into the lay too easily, too often and for too many easy shots. So many times have the Jazz had the lead going into the fourth quarter, only to see the lead disappear. The loss dropped the Jazz to 17-37 on the season, and marked the 10th time the led after three quarter of play.

There is a terrific detailed write-up of this game and pretty much everything concerning the Celtics on the Boston Celtics Blog.

Speaking of the Celtics, it is really hard to figure out where they are going. I think many people, myself included, tend to think Danny Ainge is a sharp guy who has a good chance at fixing things in Beantown. But, the trade to get back Antoinne Walker seems odd. At least in the short run, you bring back an erratic, selfish player, to a team that is trying to make a playoff run in the Eastern Conference. I wouldn't want this guy anywhere near my young players. He is often a poster-child for "things I don't want to see done" and I'd hate for some of his shot selection decisions to rub-off on any of those talented youngsters. Even in this victory against the Jazz, with the Celtics clinging to a 3 point lead, Walker hoisted a long three point attempt that missed and allowed the Jazz a lay-up on the other end to cut the lead to one, with 35 seconds left. It all worked out, because the Jazz had to foul and the Celts made all their free throws to widen the final score. In the long run, the Walker trade may have merit. The Celtics will have created salary cap room after this season is over and can use it to get someone who fits into their long-term plans better than Antoinne Walker and the departed Gary Payton. There is rumor that Payton will get waived by Atlanta and could end up back in Boston. If that works out the trade gets a hair better for the Celtics in the short run.

Positives in this game for the Jazz: Andrei Kirilenko scored 29 points and tried to assert himself. Perhaps over-asserted in the 4th quarter as he broke the offensive execution and went his own way a few times. However, for a team lacking stars and someone to step forward, I didn't see it as a complete negative. Another promising note, is Keith McLeod's attitude and the way he competes to the end. Still McLeod with 3 assists and 4 turnovers, still needs to execute the offense better and use his ability to break down a defense to create easy shots for this teammates. Offensively the Jazz were fine, but to allow the Celtics to come into the Delta Center and shoot 52% is hard to overcome.

Up Next: Jazz in Houston on Sunday, Feb 27th.

(originally blogged at the Utah Jazz Blog)

I won't read Canseco's book

2005-02-22T00:35:00.000-07:00

First of all, I was a fan of the Bash Brothers in Oakland. They were exciting to watch no doubt. Not as exciting as "Billy Ball" and the days of Rickey Henderson by the bay, but all those hard hit long balls were fun. Now its tainted. Jose Canseco has a tell all book that supposively states he and Mark McGuire were using Steroids together during their time in Oakland. Is his book true? Are two peoples recount of anything that occurred years ago ever the same? Especially if one is say slightly influenced to embellish his memory a little because of a book deal and perhaps to compensate for a career that while very good, didn't accomplish what it could have and that his inability to land back in the bigs the last couple years robbed him of a little needed cashola? Hmmm...

Canseco can't be relied upon to remember key points. I mean, do you remember back in 1992 when the ball bounced off his head and still went over the wall. It wasn't like Jose was flying high in the air and nudged it over, this was full on blow to the head. What he doesn't say in his book is that this knocked a key screw loose in the thinkin' parts. Luckily it didn't kill his giant ego, or the part of the brain that says "Jose you need money bro". I should know all this because I was his assistant part time personal fantasy league trainer for at least a month or two. I'll write this in my book coming out...uhh..well I'm low on funds, but ya know, it could happen.

By the way..in speculation terms: Given Canseco was juicin' up, what about that one girl he was seeing. Uhh..Mandonna? Have you seen the guns on this girl? It makes sense now.

Did Canseco and McGuire use steroids? It seems likely. However, is it Jose's place to speak regarding other players? I say no. If he would have done so in the interest of protecting baseball and done so prior to now, I'd say sure. But to wait until his book deal is coming, then I say its pretty weak and questionable.

It seems appropriate to end this sports mumbling with a reference to the Dan Patrick show. I am pulling from memory here, so I may not be 100% accurate with the wording, but I love the promo they are running right now:

Canseco- I didn't use, I didn't use, I'm writing a book, ok I used. Pete Rose- I didn't bet, I didn't bet, I'm writing a book, ok I bet.

(note: I did post a portion of this mumble today on a great sports blog, The Sports Frog. My posting is here.)

Lakers ready to Booz' it up?

2005-02-21T14:40:00.000-07:00

The rumor circulating today is that Carlos Boozer of the Jazz is being traded to the Lakers for some combination of Lamar Odom, Caron Butler, Vlade Divac, and Devan George. The latest rumored combination included the last three players listed. The first rumor was Odom and either Butler or George. Per the Utah Jazz PR Department, as reported by the Jazz Flagship radio station (1320 KFAN) as of 225pm MST today, there is nothing to that rumor/deal.

I for one think keeping Boozer is best option, but with a losing record, everything short of trading Andrei Kirilenko should continue to be discussed.

(originally blogged on the Utah Jazz Blog)

New Orleans New and Old

2005-02-07T20:56:00.000-07:00

Saturday Night the Utah Jazz hosted the New Orleans Hornets in the Delta Center. There is always something strange in the air when the Jazz, originally from New Orleans, play the latest NBA team calling New Orleans home.

The Hornets are either building, rebuilding, or still in the demolition stage, although its very difficult to guess which it is. They have injuries galore and came in having played the night before. Therefore, they had more than enough excuses stockpiled to cover them in this one. Well, the Hornets probably used every one after losing to the Jazz 108-92. Speaking of excuses, if you don't use them, are they really there?

In fairness, you cannot overlook the excuse that the Hornets played without their modern day stars Baron Davis and Jamaal Magloire. They also played without their star of recent years in Jamal Mashburn, who contrary to popular opinion, doesn't appear to have retired, despite his endless string of injuries and permanent resident status on the injured list. Forget stars here, the Hornets even played without serviceable fill-in Lee Nailon with an injured groin.

New Orleans simply does not have the needed bodies to defend, score or rebound in the low post. Their starting front line of journeymen (PJ Brown, George Lynch, and Rodney Rodgers) only combined for 14 points and 9 rebounds, while also posting 12 fouls, 6 turnovers, and no blocked shots.

The Jazz took advantage with many easy shots. They shot 80% for the first quarter and finished the game at 53%. Seven players scored in double figures, five players had five or more rebounds, and five different guys blocked a shot.

I'll give this to the Hornets, they got off the bus and competed. They have a couple of terrific shooters in Casey Jacobson and Bostjan Nachbar. I also like Dan Dickau, that big haired, but small framed point guard who really seems to understand this game even if he looks to be a high school gym rat. I cannot resist commenting however on their road uniforms. They are a sort of a aqua-blueish, tv out-of-contrast, all of the good colors were taken type of color. Maybe they are a Miami Vice inspired mardi gras parade uniform that doubles as a road team jersey. Ugh.

(Jazz rookie, Kirk Synder avoids PJ Brown and his electric blue uniform)

(originally blogged at the Utah Jazz Blog)

Jazz Update: Nets, Bobcats, and some quick shots

2005-02-02T19:54:00.000-07:00

Just when you think the Jazz have come around the corner or are at least getting close, they get ran over by a big truck that stops all forward progress. Then they try to get up and dust themselves off, only to have a little kid on a scooter mow them down. The Jazz played pretty well in Minnesota last Friday. They lost the game in ugly fashion at the end of the game, but in all honestly a young team playing on the road often falls apart. That hurt, but its been the last two games that have caused the pain.

The Cast, staring as the 'Big Truck': The New Jersey Nets

Trying to rebound from the Timberwolves game, the Jazz hosted the Nets on Saturday night. The Nets are under .500 and looked on paper like a team the Jazz should beat at home. However, the Nets had won 2 in a row and 5 of 7 coming in to Salt Lake City, and they featured a line-up with a healthy Jason Kidd and Vince Carter. Still even with that build-up, I don't think Jazz expected a big truck with New Jersey across the front, to completely run them over. The Nets routed Utah 99-82, in a game that was only that close because the Jazz ended the game on a bit of a run. How dominant was New Jersey? The Nets led by 24 after 3 quarters and they beat the Jazz in statistical categories of: FG%, 3PT FG, FT Made, Rebounds, Assists, Steals, Blocks, turnovers, and they committed fewer fouls. Ouch!

And in the role of 'little kid on a scooter': The Charlotte Bobcats

So after the big truck ran them over, the Jazz had the perfect remedy scheduled. A home game against the expansion Charlotte Bobcats, who had only won one road game on the season. To make it even better, the Bobcats number one draft pick, Emeka Okafor was injured for the game. Despite an 11 point lead in the fourth quarter, things went haywire, and the Bobcats led by castoffs like Brevin Knight and Gerald Wallace surged past the Jazz enroute to a 109-105 win. For the Jazz, Andrei Kirilenko did about everything humanly possible to push the Jazz to victory. He finished with 27 points, 6 rebounds, 10 assists, and 3 blocks, and setup both Carlos Boozer and Gordan Giricek for potential winning baskets with in the last minute. How bad did this game hurt? The Bobcats clearly won the game on hustle and heart. Notice, no mention of talent. At least known talent. I challenge anyone reading this to name another Bobcat player not mentioned in this article. Can't do it can you? (click here for their roster). Double Ouch!

Closing with some Quick Shots:

For a team that was always healthy and predictable for so many years, this year's Jazz are more like the anti-Jazz. Hurt and erratic.
The Jazz are now the only team to lose at home to both New Orleans and Charlotte.
The Jazz are also the only team to beat Phoenix, Seattle and San Antonio.
Despite being a losing team, the Jazz feature one of those NBA players worth paying to watch in Andrei Kirilenko.
Flip-flop. The first game between the two teams this year was a nearly identical score 107-105 (Jazz win). In that one, the Jazz came from 20 points down to get the win.
The Jazz are now 9-13 at home.
Speaking of losing. I find it surprising that Denver, Utah, Portland, Indiana and every team in the Atlantic division all have losing records.
Did anyone else just notice that San Antonio is not in Utah's division?
Want to stump someone in Jazz Trivia? How many years has it been since the Jazz have won less than last season's 42 games? They might go back to the early eighties to start their guessing. The Jazz were 41-41 in 1984-85, and 30-52 in 1982-83 which was the last time they failed to reach .500. However, the answer: In 1998-99 season the Jazz went 37-13 in a strike shortened season.

(originally blogged at the Utah Jazz Blog)

Jazz let another Fish off the hook

2005-01-31T16:59:00.000-07:00

A Promising start ends in 4th Quarter Heartbreak

The young Jazz struggled to complete a promising game in Minnesota on Friday night. In fact after leading by 16, the Jazz let Minnesota wiggle off the hook late in the game and ruined what was nearly a great trip to the Great Lakes Region. Until the NBA starts giving credit for winning partial games, or counting “we almost did its” as victories, the Jazz will have to keep clawing.

In fact to best understand what happened to the Jazz Friday night, we could examine a hypothetical fishing trip made by a group of young fishermen.

The young fishermen showed up to fish the challenging unfamiliar lake in Minnesota. The young fishermen didn’t have much experience, nor did they feel too comfortable, in the strange surroundings. Luckily, they were given some guidance by an old Ranger, who tried to impart all the wisdom and planning needed to obtain a fine catch. The young fishermen were full of youthful energy and spunk, and while not completely sure how to accomplish the task, they marched bravely ahead. Initially following the plan laid out for them by the seasoned Ranger, the fishermen looked to have a great deal of success. In fact, they hooked a big fish and started to reel it in. The fish while not a trophy fish that would garner national attention, it was certainly a conquer worth having and would gain the young fishermen some esteem and acknowledgement within their region. Things seemed to be going very well, but in the excitement of landing the big fish and thinking of all the grandeur and pride that would be achieved, the young fishermen forgot to stay with the plan and tips provided by the Ranger. As the fish got near the boat, the young fishermen were excited but also getting very nervous and caught up in the moment. The fish decided to fight back and try to free himself. The young inexperienced fishermen went ahead and tried to land the fish anyway, but as they were lifting the fish up out of the water and clearly able to see their prize, they neglected to quickly scoop it into the net. The big fish shook and spun and freed itself. Splashing back into the water the fish swam away and left the young fishermen broken hearted. Instead of leaving their adventure to the Great Lakes Region feeling successful, the young fishermen were forced to endure a late night trip home empty handed.

After the game the Ranger…urr Jazz coach, Jerry Sloan, had to feel encouraged by the way his team of young fishermen, battled and attacked early in the game. However, losing composure at the end and not showing the mental toughness required to win, was surely a tough thing to swallow. One thing is for certain, I don't expect Sloan to give up trying to teach these guys how to fish...urr Win.

For a non fishing related recap of the game, you can read the Salt Lake Tribune’s coverage of the game by clicking here.

(originally blogged at the Utah Jazz Blog)

Who do I want to win the Superbowl you ask?

2005-01-28T10:49:00.000-07:00

Since I'm not a fan of either team, picking a Superbowl favorite isn't easy.

I was hoping for Payton Manning and Dante Culpepper to make the Superbowl so we'd have guns blazing and something to watch besides the commercials. But the brutal winter weather and solid defenses won out again.

I have no issue with the Patriots. They are a machine and they are perhaps one of the best big game teams ever. They seem to play better when there is more pressure. And forget about giving Belichick too much time to prepare for an opposing QB. I do like the fact that they seem to exemplify the team concept. I think they are like a big bowl of Vanilla ice cream. You know its going to be good, but you probably won't be surprised or really excited either.

It is somewhat hard for me to root for Philly since I grew up a Cowboys fan, and remember the rivalry that started for me during the Ron Jaworski, Wilbert Montgomery, and Harold Carmichael era. Still, I think Andy Reid is a good coach, and I like McNabb. I think McNabb does have enough flexibility that the Patriots won't be able to completely neutralize him. I can picture in my mind a scenario in which the game will be very close and hinge on one turnover either way. So, I'm rooting for McNabb and the underdog Eagles. ***

*** Disclaimer: I retract the support for the Eagles in the event Terrible Owens plays. Does he make them better? Sure. But as they've proven throughout the playoffs, they can win games without him. His attitude and thirst for the spotlight in what is supposed to be a team game is beyond irritating. Of course, I'm one of those people who say lame things like, "I'd rather lose with the right guys, than win with the wrong ones". While I never root for a player to get injured, I can say I was not disappointed that Terrible got hurt, nor could I ignore that there was some kind of justice that occurred since he was hurt at the scene of one of his biggest egocentric displays ever (Parading around on the Star in Texas Stadium years ago).

Shooting and Missing

2005-01-27T08:49:00.000-07:00

Shooting Percentages in the NBA : The Best and the worst.

As you know, I love to look at statistics of different kinds. One very common statistic is field goal percentage. Usually the best big men in the league are the best percentage shooters. Looking at the top 5 in the NBA, there are no real surprises:

Shaquille O'Neal .610
Amare Stoudemire .572
Eddie Curry .537
Carlos Boozer .530
Udonis Haslem .528

One guy who makes the top ten is somewhat shocking. Jason Terry of Dallas is #10 in the NBA at .521. This is surprising in that he is a guard who shoots mainly from the perimeter, but also, the guy is a career .432 shooter. Something has changed, and I'd guess it's playing on a winning team that features several other great players who are demanding double teams.

One thing that people don't always look at is the worst field goal percentage shooters. I did, and I was surprised to find who was dead last in the NBA for made FG %. The criteria requires that all these players must be on pace to make 300 FG for the season, so for that reason part time players don't appear much in this list. Okay, who is last?

How about Kobe Bryant. Yes, Kobe is ranked #101 and therefore is the lowest ranked player in terms of shooting percentage. It doesn't help that Kobe takes almost 30% of his shots behind the arc, where he only shoots 33%.

Here are the brick-layers (bottom of the FG% rankings):

Kobe Bryant .406
Antoinne Walker .409
Earl Boykins .412
Allen Iverson .414
Morris Peterson .415
Corey Maggette .415

You can see the entire list on ESPN by clicking here.

(originally blogged at the Utah Jazz Blog)

Jazz Show Signs of Life

2005-01-26T17:47:00.000-07:00

The Utah Jazz showed signs of life in their 109-100 victory over the Seattle Sonics last night. It might be more accurately stated as "Signs of Health". The two stars of the game for the Jazz were Andrei Kirilenko, playing just his 3rd game back from injury, and point guard Raul Lopez, who has had his career limited by injuries.

Andrei Kirilenko played two 10 minute stretches for the Jazz, as he is still being limited by the trainers who do not want to rush him back too quick. Perhaps no other player is as hard to describe as AK 47, in that when he is on the floor good things happen and you can't always measure them. That doesn't mean he is a quiet player, as when you are finished watching you know his impact is huge, and huge in a way that the box score sometimes misses. I am not sure whether "Jigsaw" is a good nickname for him or not, but its many different pieces that come together to make an effective result with Andrei. Blocked shots, steals, offensive rebounds, deflections, and off the ball movement are things that he excels at. Sure, he delivers points and rebounds and some assists, but he is dominant in those other areas. Kirilenko being back from injury definitely brings hope to the fans. You can sense it.

Raul Lopez was the unquestioned star of the game. Raul played a career high 38 minutes and set season highs of 20 points and 11 assists. Keep in mind, Lopez had averaged only 13.6 minutes per game this season, but was thrust into the starting point guard position due to the trade of Carlos Arroyo and the recent injury to Keith McLeod. Health will be a key, but this guy may not give back the starting position for a while.

Did anyone see this victory by the Jazz coming? The author of the best Sonics blog going, is in tune with pulse of his team and predicted this outcome correctly (click and read for yourself). I for one was somewhat surprised. I thought the fact that Seattle played the night before, while the Jazz were home and resting, meant it could be close. However, after watching the offensive show Seattle put on the Jazz over the weekend, it was hard to imagine them being slowed down by the less than impressive defense the Jazz have been playing.

The Jazz have a home dominated schedule with 4 of the next 5, and 5 of the next 7, being played in the Delta Center. As the season is rapidly ticking away, the Jazz must now start to win if there is any prayer of playoff contention. I shouldn't mention this, but the Jazz are now 15-28 on the season, and would have to finish 26-13 to get to .500 (which still may not be a playoff birth in the rugged Western Conference).

A closing comment on the Sonics (whom the Jazz have finished playing for the year), is that they sure are fun to watch shoot the basketball. Ray Allen might be the purest bomber in Seattle since Downtown Freddie Brown. And probably not since Jack Sikma have they had a big guy step out like Vladimir Radmanovic and bury endless jumpers. It doesn't end there either as Rashard Lewis, Luke Ridnour, and Antonio Daniels all seem to drop daggers when left open.

(originally blogged at the Utah Jazz Blog)

Mumblings from the weekend...

2005-01-24T18:18:00.000-07:00

As usual, after a weekend full of sports, I have just a couple of thoughts to mumble...

It might be obvious to you, but I just realized these Patriots are pretty good. No seriously, do they ever lose a big game? I thought the Steelers where in great position to win as they had the home field, a great coach, and an awesome defense. In the end another big game won and dominated by the Patriots. I think its going to take a huge effort from Westbrook and McNabb to have a chance against New England. I think Philly's Defense is near Pitt's level, and McNabb and Westbrook are upgrades, but I still worry that they can score enough to keep with the Pats. As of now Las Vegas agrees and says Philly is a 6 1/2 point underdog. At least the commercials should be good. Never mind the half time show.
The University of Utah men's basketball program looks like it has rebounded from losing its nationally respected coach (Majerus) and is out to show that the program is bigger than just one man (even if that man was realllly big). Note, the Utah football program faces this same challenge next year. Back on the court, the Utes have won 11 games in a row and are finally nationally ranked (#25 this week). Star center Andrew Bogut is on a big-time roll and could possibly be a top 5 NBA pick next year. The Sporting News has caught Bogut fever and made him the starting center on their Half-Season All American Team. If Bogut is drafted as high as expected (lets assume he'll enter the draft), it leads me wonder if any school has placed a Football player and a Basketball player in the top five of each draft in the same season (Bogut and Alex Smith are both possible top picks). I'll research this in the days to come. By the way, in terms of rolling....against New Mexico, Bogut scored 18 of Utah's first 19 points. When have you ever seen something like that? He ended the game with 24 points and 20 rebounds.
Guess who won a golf tournament this weekend? I didn't see it, but if Tiger keeps winning, golf could become very watchable again.
They say Randy Moss could be traded this off season. Am I the only one who would like to see him get traded to USC for that Smith kid? Yes that's right, the USC Trojans. C'mon it would be great, Steve Smith of USC has great hands and with Culpepper around could be a good player. Moss, could go back to school and have some time to grow up, learn some discipline, and maybe even just a touch of class to go with all that talent. I'd take Ahmad Rashad catching Culpepper any day over this Moss character.
Speaking of not missing flamboyant wide receivers....I hope Terrible Owens doesn't play in the Superbowl. McNabb and company have proven they can do it without him, and as good as Owens is, he doesn't deserve to be the only one getting all the credit (even if he is seeking it so very badly). Come to think about it, without Owens, when looking at the final four NFL teams in the playoffs who are the wide receivers? Sure New England's guys are solid, and Burress and Ward for Pittsburgh are good, but chances are the average fan couldn't name a WR on Philadelphia or Atlanta. A star WR is a nice thing to have, but perhaps not as valuable as a few of these guys would like you to think they are.
The Jazz got Andrei Kirilenko back from injury, but in limited minutes, he was unable to help the Jazz from losing two games over the weekend. The Memphis Grizzlies and the Seattle Sonics both used a heavy dose of offense to keep the Jazz at bay.
Jazz Trade idea; Are there two NBA teams with nicknames that are more un-fitting for their cities than the Utah Jazz and the Memphis Grizzlies? Venture into downtown Salt Lake City and look for some Jazz music. Also, chances are there has never been a Grizzly Bear within 500 miles of Memphis. Therefore does it not make sense to trade the nicknames?
Kudos to the Salt Lake Tribune for running an edited version of my "Fouls Called Differential" statistical review of the Jazz, that I blogged a few days ago.

The Jazz are all FOULED up

2005-01-22T22:08:00.000-07:00

Every time the official blows the whistle, victory is farther away

Stop the Zebras!

Don’t get me wrong, I’m a strong Jazz supporter. However, it has become clear that the Jazz are FOULED up this year.

One over-looked statistic that actually tells a great deal about winning and losing is the fouls called differential. Meaning, the number of fouls called on the Jazz, minus the number of fouls called on their opponent in the same game, creates the fouls called differential (FCD). I'm not sure that it's statistic that is monitored all that often, and perhaps is only being done so now as I grasp at straws to explain the Jazz season thus far. That said, this statistical review delivered a pretty powerful result.

The Jazz have the highest and worst FCD in the NBA at +2.82 per game (A good FCD is a negative number). How important is the FCD to winning and losing? Consider a study of the worst 6 teams (highest FCD) and best 6 teams (lowest FCD) as of Friday night (01/21/05):

Worst 6: Utah (+2.82 ), Atlanta (+2.47), New Jersey (+2.00), New York (+1.92), Chicago (+1.88), and New Orleans (+1.78); Combined Record: 77-153, or .335 winning percentage.

Best 6: Phoenix (-2.82), Miami (-2.47), San Antonio (-2.39), Detroit (-2.26), Sacramento (-1.76), and LA Lakers (-1.67); Combined Record: 163-73, or .691 winning percentage.

How could the fouls called differential be so important? Consider that every additional foul called would most likely be a foul called when the team is already in the bonus for a quarter, and their opponent would get two free throws. So the Jazz are fouling almost 3 more fouls per game than their opponent and therefore giving up nearly an extra 6 foul shots per game. For a team that has lost many close games that is important. Add to the fact that an extra foul here or there could be putting one of their good players on the bench during a key time.

Don’t the Jazz always play physical defense, and most likely always been poor in this category? Actually No. Last year when the Jazz finished with a 42-40 record, their FCD while still not great at +1.18, was more of a middle of the road number. In the last two Stockton and Malone years, the Jazz had impressive -1.38 and -1.19 FCD’s and won 55% of their games.

Why are the Jazz doing so poor this season? It could be the fact that the NBA has changed the way they call fouls this year and are whistling aggressive defensive teams for more fouls. However, three aggressive and physical defensive teams (Miami, San Antonio, and Detroit) are 3 of the best 4 teams in the NBA in terms of FCD.

Missing Andrei Kirilenko with injury, could that be a reason? Could be. Interestingly, with Andrei in the line-up this year the Jazz are 8-6, with a -1.36 FCD, which would be 8th best in the entire NBA.

Perhaps having Kirilenko back in the line-up will allow the Jazz to make a few more defensive plays, and result in the referees blowing that whistle a couple less times per game. One thing is certain: Over a period of games, fewer whistles, means fewer losses.

(originally blogged at the Utah Jazz Blog)

Bell rings up Lakers in 4th

2005-01-18T07:52:00.000-07:00

Arroyo on the bench again, while Jazz sparkle in the 4th Quarter

The Jazz beat the Lakers in the Fabulous Forum last night, 102-94. Okay, so it was the Staples center and Magic Johnson nor Stockton-to-Malone were on exhibit. For that matter, the modern day heroes of Kobe Bryant and Andrei Kirilenko were also absent with leg injuries. It still doesn't change the fact that there is still something fun about playing the purple and gold in La-La land and something terrific about winning, no matter the circumstances. When the camera panned we saw all that we needed: The LA Skyline outside, the stars courtside, the banners in the rafters, and the Jazz with more points than the hometown Lakers on the scoreboard.

As typical with many Jazz games this season, one of the most interesting things was who played and who didn't. Raja Bell, for instance, didn't play much. In the first half that is. Raja even admitted after the game that he didn't like not playing. But in the end, he respected Coach Sloan's decision and did not show signs of frustration or a selfish motivation. Instead, when he was finally given extra minutes in the 4th quarter of Monday Night's game, Bell let his play do the talking and scored 14 of his 16 points in the quarter. He was hardly the only star, but his big 3-pointer late in the game was crucial. The fact that he had the attitude when needed was huge.

In contrast, Carlos Arroyo continues to ride the pine for the Jazz. I understand his frustration, but I'm still optimistic enough to think that if he keeps his head right, that he'll get another opportunity to be the lead point guard down the road. Last night, even during a gripping game against the Lakers when a grumpy person would have been forgiven to lose himself and excitedly support his teammates, appeared somber. There were several times when you could not miss his glum and less than enthusiastic expression. He's young and I hope will rebound, but visually he looks like he is completely crushed.

The media typically refers to Arroyo's not playing because of a fallout with Jerry Sloan. Was there a fallout? Yes, we all saw the argument, but you forget that Sloan routinely fell out of sorts with others in the past, only to give them playing time when they were willing and able to contribute. Greg Ostertag, for instance, was always banging heads with Sloan, but they quickly put it behind them and Greg contributed shortly afterwards. I think rather than pointing to that one argument as to why Carlos isn't playing, we can look at the numbers for the problem.

First, a general comparison of some of Arroyo's average numbers between this year and last:

This year: 24.7 mins, 40.1 FG%, 38.9 3pt %, 1.5 rebounds, 5.1 assists, 1.8 TO, and 8.2 points .
Last year: 28.3 mins, 44.1 FG%, 37.4 3pt %, 2.6 rebounds, 5.0 assists, 2.2 TO, and 12.6 points.

There isn't a huge fall off statistically, although he isn't shooting or rebounding quite as well, but the key is that the team isn't performing as well when he is in the game. The role the Jazz give their point guard is to be responsible for others and the overall flow of the team. You might say that it's subjective to say that Arroyo isn't doing as well as the other PGs on the roster, and there isn't much tangible proof that the team isn't performing when he is on the court. Well after a little digging some interesting numbers can be found. The amazing folks at www.82games.com have taken statistics to a new level. You can see a report on the Jazz, that shows how the Jazz perform with each player on the court, in terms of +/- points relative to their opponents (based on a 48 minute game). When you compare the three point guards on the Jazz, this is very telling:

Arroyo -8.3
McCleod +6.0
Lopez +8.4

For conversation sake, and to highlight how much the Jazz miss Andrei Kirilenko, his number is a +21.7. How big is Kirilenko's presence? Compare his to some other NBA greats: Duncan (15.6), Iverson (1.6), Garnett (14.4), Kobe (9.7), Lebron (12.2) and Steve Nash (12.7). We'll have to keep monitoring these numbers as the season goes one.
(Note these numbers seem to be very fluid and change with each game, but as of this moment, you can get the idea)

(originally blogged at the Utah Jazz Blog)

Kings execute Jazzmen

2005-01-14T08:30:00.000-07:00

The Jazz were playing sweet music the last two games. Cliche? Sure, but after beating two of the best teams in the NBA this week, the Jazz may be entitled. Thursday night in Sacramento, the Utah Jazz were brought back to earth a bit, when the Kings used terrific offensive execution at key moments, to end Utah's two game winning streak.

The Kings were warriors. It was a physical and bloody night. Greg Ostertag had his false teeth knocked out when he was accidentally elbowed in the mouth by Jazz center Curtis Borchardt. Kings forward Maurice Evans went strong to the basket late in the 4th quarter but was challenged in mid-air by Carlos Boozer and Kirk Snyder of the Jazz. Evans lost his balance and landed gruesomely on his head and shoulder. When all said and done, Ostertag has six stitches, Evans had twelve stitches and a concussion, but the Sacramento got the victory.

Perhaps the most impressive part of the Sacramento victory was the execution on offense. Especially noticeable after timeouts. Virtually every time they came out of timeout the Kings scored a basket off a well designed play. One of the few times the Jazz completely defended the designed play, Chris Webber took it up on himself and made a forced shot. With regard to Webber, he clearly is not the same guy physically that he used to be. He isn't as quick and his swagger and way of moving now seem to be a product of years of banging on his body, rather than a style point being made. That said, Webber is savvy, still very talented, and makes up for physical slowing by good decision making. You may not always respect things he says and does off the court, but there are many reasons to respect the way he has continued to adapt his game over the years.

There were a few comments that always need reacting to....

What was said:
Peja Stojakovic, perhaps the best shooter in the NBA, said, "When they grab and hold you for 30 minutes you get mad. I was just letting the referee know, if you are going to call it by the rules, you should do it, and not let them get away from that."
What I think:
You know I respect his shooting, but his whining about someone trying to actually guard him is a little irritating. It is not as irritating as his constant flopping, whining, arm swinging, and exaggerated movements he makes to try and draw fouls, but you get the idea. From the, 'If I could get what I want file', I'd like to see Peja being guarded by Jerry Sloan, the young or old Jerry would be fine. For the record, Peja can relax, the officials noticed and called the game exactly the way he would have hoped, with Utah being whistled for 26 fouls and Sacramento only 16. I'd rather have Peja commenting about how great his teammates Brad Miller and Chris Webber played, or the precision play calling of Rick Adelman. He is a marksman on the court, but a few of his comments are a little off the mark.

What was said:
Greg Ostertag, former Utah Jazz center, said, "That's just Jerry [Sloan]. You don't expect to see stuff like that happen, and I don't think it was intentional, I think he just got caught [Maurice Evans], and that's what he gets for jumping so high. But Jerry's hands on. 'Stick your nose in there , and if it gets busted, stick it back in', that's the way Jerry coaches."
What I think:
All those years of banging heads with coach Sloan, we always thought he and Jerry didn't understand each other. We were wrong! Actually, in all seriousness, the fall by Maurice Evans was scary. To the point that after the first couple of replays, I was very tired of seeing it and had to look away. It is however part of the game and I don't like how the world and NBA are always looking for someone to blame. The other quotes and comments suggested it was a dirty play, and even the officials gave the Jazz a flagrant foul on the play. The truth is, two players on the Jazz defended the basket and tried to get the basketball, and Evans was a high flyer who went strong to the rim. Falling and getting hurt is a risk and Evans should share some of the blame. To leap into the heart of a defense like that without assuming that bodies will collide doesn't make sense. In the end, this kid looks to have a bright future, is a terrific athlete, and reports are that despite the mild concussion he'll be fine.

Closing notes...
Kudos to the Sacramento Bee and writer Scott Howard-Cooper for the fine piece about Jerry Sloan and the emotions he has over losing his wife Bobbye. It is a must read and you can do so by clicking here.

Jazz announced Kirilenko is out until January 22nd, despite rumors and hopes that he would be back Saturday the 15th.

All in the Family. Sacramento's fill-in point guard, Eddie House is actually Mike Bibby's brother-in-law.

(originally blogged at the Utah Jazz Blog)

A rare eclipse - Jazz block out the Suns

2005-01-13T06:45:00.000-07:00

For the second time this week, a true NBA powerhouse rolled into the Delta Center.

For the second time this week, a true NBA powerhouse was beaten by the Utah Jazz.

The Jazz won the game, 115-108, behind a huge night from Mehmet Okur. Okur ended the night with 21 points and 17 rebounds, 10 of which were on the offensive end. There were many other contributors for the Jazz, as they flashed signs of what could be. Signs of what they hoped and thought they could be all along. They did not flash any signs of a team that entered the game in last place in their division, and had only won a third of their games on the season. To understand the brilliance of this victory, you need to look at the opponent.

Phoenix entered into the game with an astonishing 31-4 record. With only 4 losses the Suns had only half as many losses as the next closest team in the entire league (San Antonio with 8). The Suns were on pace to win 72 games in the season, which would match the Bulls for the most wins ever in an NBA season. The Suns, the night before had beaten Miami, the best team in the Eastern Conference, in a dominating fashion 122-107.

Phoenix departed Salt Lake City with loss number 5 and while showing amazing offensive ability, also showed a few areas of fragility. Lack of Depth - An injury to a key player (Nash, Stoudemire, or Marion) and this team would become very beatable. Who does the dirty work? The absence of any real ability to do the thankless tasks of rebounding and defense was evident.

The outside observer trying to explain what happened, would write this one off saying the Suns overlooked the Jazz, were tired from the night before, and probably victims of an officiating crew that favored the home town club. To be honest, the first two items are true. The Suns who rightfully have a healthy swagger going, probably overlooked the Jazz. Its also likely they were tired from the night before. However, some of the fatigue issues have more to do with team setup and coaching philosophy, than the fact they simply played the night before. Even though the Suns are young and energetic, the fatigue issue won't go away because Phoenix has no depth and a coach with a philosophy of "keeping 7 or 8 guys happy" with playing time. The result: Only two Sun reserves played more than 10 minutes, and none played more than 19, leaving the Suns with a grand total of 6 points and 3 rebounds contributed by the bench. The third explanation, about the Suns getting unfair treatment by the officials who may have been inclined to favor the home team, is simply untrue. The Jazz were whistled for 26 fouls, the Suns only 16. The Jazz shot 16 free throws the entire night, the Suns shot 36 and that factor alone kept the Suns close.

A few things and numbers, that I find interesting....

Suns forward Shawn Marion said, "We came out of the gates on fire tonight and I think we just relaxed a little bit. And as soon as we relaxed, they became the aggressors and they started getting the calls." Can someone send Marion the stat sheet showing that the Suns attempted more than twice the number of free throws as the Jazz? Can someone remind Shawn that he took 6 free throws, which is twice his season average (3.2 per game)?
The Suns totaled 14 assists for the game. Not bad. However, take away Steve Nash's 11 assists and you see only three other Suns contributed one assist each.
The Suns shot 27 three pointers, only making 9. That sounds like an awful lot of three point attempts, but the Suns average 24 per game on the season. It also sounds like they weren't too successful with all those shots by only making 33%. However, consider those 9 made three pointers totaled 27 points, meaning the Suns would have needed to make 14, or 52%, of 27 two point shots to equal the total points scored. Bombs Away!
This was the first game the Suns had lost to a team with a losing record this season.
A bunch of young guys were on the court last night. The oldest starter on either team was Steve Nash at 30. The 10 guys starting for the two teams averaged 25.2 years of age.
The Suns up-tempo, offensive style is fun to watch. They average 110 points a game, which is nearly 8 more points than the next closest team (Dallas - 102).

Did you Know? The Suns hold the NBA record for most points scored in the first half of a game, with 107. Record was set in 1990 against Denver.

The Jazz head to Sacramento tonight and then return for a game against the second best team in the Eastern Conference, Cleveland on Saturday. It will be interesting to see if they can keep building on this new found ability to play an entire game. They should receive a boost if Andrei Kirilenko returns to the lineup this weekend as predicted.

(originally blogged at the Utah Jazz Blog)

Why they play the games, and why we watch

2005-01-11T23:44:00.000-07:00

The Jazz are enduring a difficult year. That is an understatement. However, before we over-react to their losing record and struggles in the what seems like the 2nd half of every ball game, we need to keep perspective. Perspective, like Jerry Sloan, who recently said:

"Hardships never hurt anybody. It's how you deal with them. I've dealt with plenty of those things," said Sloan, whose wife died last June. "This is not a hardship. This is just basketball. Last year was a hardship."

Only perhaps a demeanor like Sloan could set the stage for the, "We are down, but we are not out, game of the year" thus far.

Monday Night in the Delta Center, the San Antonio Spurs entered the game having won 18 straight games over the Jazz. The Jazz last beat the Spurs nearly 5 years ago (Feb 2000). The Jazz entered the game having lost 9 games in a row, which was their longest losing streak since 1983. While those streaks didn't sound promising, the further realities of the Jazz season made it even worse. The Jazz announced that afternoon they would be without Forwards Matt Harpring and Raja Bell, who would both sit and rest injured knees. Keep in mind the Jazz were already without their best player, Andrei Kirilenko, and another rotation regular in Jarron Collins. No problem, they'll just lean on Carlos Arroyo who stared in the summer Olympics, and give him a chance to shine. Right? Well, Carlos hasn't been himself and is barely getting any playing time in Sloan's rotation.

Was I alone in feeling that the task before them was ridiculous? Hardly. In fact, I think I may always remember the demeanor and tone of those on the Jazz radio network during the pregame show. Former Coach Tom Nissalke and co-host Ian Fitzsimmons, were sort of chuckling under their breaths as they tried to give credence to the Jazz's chances of winning that night. I don't blame them, I didn't see it coming. In fact, I probably would have forgiven the Jazz if they just mailed this one in.

Well by now, you all know what happened. Mehmet Okur tipped in a miss by Keith McLeod at the buzzer and the place went nuts, as the Jazz beat the Spurs 97-96. The players and fans celebrated like they had won a playoff game. Getting the monkey, at least for a night, off your back was clearly a huge thing. Even the normal even keeled Jerry Sloan stated, "Tonight they deserve a reward because they stayed with it for the full 48 minutes". Just how much love was in the air? Even San Antonio coach Greg Popovich wasn't entirely disappointed with the outcome of the game and commented, "I'm happy for them, in a strange sort of way."

Was this the game that will turn around the Jazz season? I'd like to say yes, but the truth is, this is a Sloan coached team. He will eventually get the best out of them, and their success will hinge more on the health of key players, improvement by the new players, and the ability for the team to improve together, than the emotion or result of a single game.

For one night, the fact that the improbable happened cannot be underscored enough. It was a terrific game and a terrific thing to watch. In fact, its games like this that explain why they play the games that seemed decided ahead of time, and why we love to watch them.

(originally blogged at www.utahjazzblog.blogspot.com)

Final Football Polls - Out of Order?

2005-01-05T17:58:00.000-07:00

All the college football bowl games are done and the national polls have come out. That means that the best football teams of the season have all done their talking on the field for twelve games or more, and the experts are left to evaluate how they did and who did it best.

Naturally one of the fun things to do at this point is evaluate how the experts have done with their evaluations. Prior to reviewing the polls, I must offer my typical disclaimer. As a Utah alum and close follower of the Utah program, I am definitely biased in their direction. However, in this case, I need to note that I'm also an Oklahoma Sooner fan and I have two older brothers who are OU alumni. As of this moment, my computer has only two fight songs saved on it's hard drive, "Utah Man am I" and "Boomer Sooner". Also, the top polls rate 25 teams, but at this moment, I'll focus on the top 5. On with the polls.....

The AP
(The Media Poll or aka....The "We shouldn't be biased, but we like OU's fight song better than Utah's and we were too tired to change our rankings after OU no-showed in the Orange bowl" Poll)

1. USC
2. Auburn
3. OU
4. Utah
5. Texas

ESPN/USA Today
(The coaches poll or aka...The "We are too busy and have too many biases and conference allegiances to really do this right, plus the barbeque weenies we ate in Austin were really good last time" Poll.)

1. USC
2. Auburn
3. OU
4. Texas
5. Utah

As I stated, I'm biased....but I don't see how Utah isn't ranked # 3. To argue that Utah should be # 3 (or higher), when they already sit at #4 or #5, seems to be splitting hairs to the casual fan. I agree, so let’s split those hairs.

I love the Sooners offensive talent and I expected them to beat the Trojans, but they looked awful Tuesday night. Part of it was USC being absolutely great. However, other issues like OU having 4 turnovers in the first half, OU having key players fall down repeatedly, and Jason White making several bad decisions and throws based on fear and panic, speak volumes about the Sooners. The discrepancy between USC and Oklahoma at least on that night was huge. This did not look like the #1 and #3 ranked teams squaring off. Third ranked teams don't lose 55-19 in a game that wasn't really that close. Great teams don't fail to put cleats on the WRs and RBs that are actually suited for the field they were on. How come USC never seemed to fall down? Jason White is a former Heisman winner, a great talent, and a true gun slinger, but I don't think you can ignore his bowl performances the last 2 years. In the biggest games of his team's seasons and his life thus far he has produced 2 touchdowns (one in garbage time) and 5 interceptions. Now I don't think its fair to flush the Sooners terrific season over one bad game. Of course, I'm not saying 'flush it' so much as I'm saying rank them 4th or lower.

On the other side of this argument is the University of Utah. It is true, Utah didn't play OU's schedule, but to make that statement without looking at what they did makes no sense. Utah had no close games, no bad games, and they thumped Texas A&M to the point that Utah's 17 year old true freshman QB got to play in the 4th quarter. As Texas A&M was their only common opponent, it is fair to at least compare performances in that game. OU struggled with A&M and only won the game when A&M's final pass fell incomplete with two seconds left in the game. Do I think Utah could beat OU straight up? Based solely on the comparative information that we have this season, as opposed the football history of the two schools, I would have to think it would be a good game and one the Utes could win.

Okay, get the coaches and media on the phone, lets have a re-vote.

But first, I should comment on Texas. I don't get how they are ranked #4 in the media poll. Sure Texas is a very good team, but it should be noted that they trailed in each of their last six games. The game before that six game streak they were tied with Missouri before winning, and the one before that Texas was shutout by Oklahoma. I'm sorry, but Top 5 teams don't get shutout by anyone, ever. I give credit to Texas for rallying to win so many of their games. I give so much credit I'd like to vote them the 5th or 6th best team in the country.

I'll leave it to the people who followed Auburn closer than I to argue they should be number one. After watching their bowl game and USC's I'd say the voters have that one right. I'm also not going to argue for a playoff system yet. If and when a football playoff system arrives, it will be interesting, but I doubt it will be the perfect solution that all the BCS critics say it is. I'd expect there will still be many teams that complain or criticize over that arrangement as well. The latest theory I've heard is a "Plus One" system, where all the bowls are completed and then there is one more game between the top teams to determine the championship. I am not sure that is worth anything. Who would play in it this year? USC and Auburn? Then you'd have Utah people very upset about not even having a chance.

Thoughts about Pittsburgh and Utah's Defense

2005-01-03T17:05:00.000-07:00

After Utah's thrashing of Pittsburgh in the Fiesta bowl, a few mumblings about the Panthers and the Utah Defense....

Pittsburgh was not as tough or hard nosed as they were advertised to be. I expected they would control the lines of scrimmage and have success running the ball on Utah. They did not come close to controlling either line of scrimmage, and like many of Utah's opponents, they learned that a spread offense does not mean finesse. Pittsburgh's coach Walt Harris agreed and noted, "I think the physical part of the game, we did not match up."
Tyler Palko is a tough quarterback, but not in Alex Smith's league as an overall player. Palko was tough and elusive, despite being sacked nine times. Several times he escaped what looked like a sure sack, including once when the defensive player removed Palko's wristband. However when he did escape, he wasn't consistent and usually didn't make the defense pay for blitzing him. Alex Smith on the other hand, several times escaped the rush to complete passes or ran for the first down himself. To Palko's credit, in the face of adversity he was good enough not to have a turnover, he just wasn't able to produce something positive.
Heralded Pitt WR Greg Lee is young and owes most of his success to the team and QB with which he plays. While Lee did have a 31 yard TD reception and he possesses the speed and size to be very good, he did drop a long bomb from Palko that would have yielded a touchdown or at least possession inside the 10 yard line. Also, one pass in the first half he was credited as making, was actually an incomplete pass as seen on the replays. The play gave Pittsburgh a needed first down and kept their drive alive, but could have very easily been recorded as another crucial drop by Lee. Most likely with some experience, Lee will make the catches he is supposed to make, and then when combined with his ability to make the difficult ones, he'll be terrific. He is however, not there yet.
Utah's defense is better than people thought. Utah's defense was described as solid before the game, but vulnerable to give up both yards and points. Pittsburgh did get 251 yards passing from Palko, but needed 40 passes to get those yards and endured a Fiesta bowl record nine sacks. As far as ability to run on the Utes, all you really need to know is that Pitt's top two rushers were outrushed by Utah QB Alex Smith (77 yards). I think the answer is that Utah's defense was better than people expected, but throughout the season Utah's offense scored so often and so fast, that the opposing teams were give many opportunities to create something.
Kyle Wittingham is one terrific bowler. Wittingham is proving to be very good when given extra time to break down an opponent for a bowl game. While winning it's last 4 bowl games, Utah has only given up a total of 29 points, or an average of 7.3 points per game. Also, Wittingham's Defense has held the last three of those opponents to season lows for points scored. The only disclaimer to that is in the 2001 matchup against USC, the Utes allowed the Trojans to score 6 points which matched their low output for the season. It's also good to note in that game USC featured a guy at QB named Carson Palmer, who would win the Heisman the following season. And the fourth team, the only one of the four that didn't set a season low for points scored was Fresno State. The Bulldogs, managed 16 points, which was only two points better than their season low of 14 and one of their touchdowns was a return of a blocked kick.

Now I've Danced around the table twice

2005-01-03T16:41:00.000-07:00

I have now danced around my coffee table twice. This isn't a ballroom dance, but a sport induced exhilaration where one does a jig around one's coffee table and yells "wooooo" in a loud quickly going hoarse voice. It's not pretty to watch, so I'm told, but it felt like the right thing to do, on two different occasions.

The first time was when John Stockton hit "the Shot" to send the Utah Jazz to the finals for the first time. I danced around the coffee table for perhaps an hour drinking a bottle of champagne and calling everyone I knew. My wife calls that one of the happiest moments of my life. Not sure she thinks that is a good thing.

The second time was Saturday night as I watched the Utes polish off the Pitt Panthers. I'm a little older and a little more mellow perhaps than when I did the first dance, but it was just as sweet. Both times, I felt the joy of a long awaited victory and having the good guys do it right.

I'm hoping for more dancing in the future, but as when the Jazz went back to the finals a second time, when our Utes return to the BCS money laden party, I doubt it will be quite as sweet as this one. Don't get me wrong it will be great and cause me to buy certain products, ala mucho bags of Tostitos this year (maybe Nokia phones next time), but it will always be the 'second time'.

After such celebration I have to stop and look two directions.

First, forward. No, no, I'm not thinking about next year yet. I'm thinking about the next bowl games and how they will impact this year's team. In fact, I'm looking forward wishing they had another game next week. Nobody has stopped the run-a-way train called the "2004 Utes" and I don't want the season to end. Tonight I'll root against the Auburn Tigers, then I'll root for one of the Rose Bowl teams to blow out the other, so that the Utes can end the season ranked as high as possible. Then I'll go to sleep and dream that some rich entrepreneur will offer the Utes and Sooners or USC a chance to play one game in two weeks for a big trophy and even bigger money (to be split among the BCS folks of course). It won't happen, but as long as I'm looking forward, might as well do a little dreaming.

Second, looking back at the year that was. I can only think, did this really happen?

They won every game? Not every game against lesser in-state schools, or every conference game, but every one of them? Yes they did, and the Utes did so in a big way as no game was closer than 14 points all season. In college football history, only the 1995 Nebraska Cornhuskers can match that feat.
The Utes played on January 1st? The barometer for big bowl games when I was younger was January 1st. The bowls before that didn't matter much and there were no games played after Jan 1. The Utes not only appeared on the big date, but after watching them play, many are thinking they should have played even later, perhaps Jan. 3rd against Auburn.
Utah's QB was a finalist for the Heisman? He won several Player of the Year awards as well? Yes he did, and it appears that he is as smart off the field as he was on the field, and will take advantage of the next opportunity coming his way....in the NFL. Will he make it big? Who knows, but if you would have told me he would do what he has done the last year and a half I wouldn't have believed it. So, good luck Alex, shock us all again.
Utah's head football coach won conference and national coach of the year awards and was sought after by elite programs like Notre Dame and Florida? Yes he was, and the national sports media focused on the pursuit of Urban for several days. We'll miss having Meyer at the helm, but good luck Urban! Thanks for painting the town red in such a big way.
The top two coordinators were sought to be head coaches of other collegiate programs, in the same year? Yes they were. BYU wanted Defensive guru, Kyle Wittingham, and UNLV wanted the high octane offensive coordinator Mike Sanford. In the end, they'll both wear red next season. Although Sanford's red will be in Vegas. To have them both in demand in the same year really speaks to the strength of the 2004 Utes that featured success on both sides of the ball.
RB Marty Johnson played more than 2 games? After failing to hold up on the field the last two seasons with injuries in the 2nd game of the year and then failing off the field with alcohol related problems leading to brushes with the law, Marty straightened up and flew right. While his individual total yardage numbers weren't what he hoped, Johnson scored an amazing 14 TDS and still ran for over 800 yards and averaged nearly 5 yards per carry. With the exception of Alex Smith, Marty probably benefited more from his time with Urban Meyer than any other player.

What a season, and what a story. While I don't expect to dance around the coffee table again in the near future, this was one that will be remembered.

Majerus and Utah Hoop schedule

2004-12-23T08:03:00.000-07:00

Contrary to reports, Majerus did not back out of USC job because the hotel nearest the arena doesn't have room service. Whether it was solely his health, or the realization that all the good parking spots, athletes, and University focus are given to the National Champion Football team, it was Rick's choice to make. This is another situation where its unfortunate that these high profile coaches must conduct their interviews and make their career decisions under such a microscope. Even for a guy who seemingly loves the media attention, this couldn't have been fun. Away from the sports world I've watched friends struggle and fret over new job decisions, and despite what the media has us thinking, these coaches aren't the only people on the planet who flip-flop on what job situation is best for them. Is Majerus nuts? Only in a good way. Did USC get burned? Somewhat, but he wasn't taking over the team until next season anyway, so they have plenty of time to fill the position. Do USC Fans feel burned? I think so. More importantly through all this we learned they actually have a few fans or a few potential fans if the program goes in the right direction. In conclusion, ESPN's loss, is USC's loss, is ESPN's gain. All is well, until Indiana comes calling.

The University of Utah men's basketball team is now 8-3. The overall impression I get from fans is that they've underachieved. I must admit they layed an egg in Logan to Utah State a few weeks ago, but as it looks now USU is a pretty good team that is going to do a lot of damage this season. The other two losses, on the road to Washington and Arizona are respectable. I also hear opinions that Utah has played a bunch of powder puff teams that had no business being on the court with them. It is true that Utah has played Stony Brook, High Point, Furman, Montana Western, No. Colorado, and Coppin State thus far. I agree that if you play a school that 9 out of 10 people cannot name either the State they play in or the team mascot, that the competition may leave something to be desired. However, I think its common practice for quality Division I programs to play patsies early in the season. Last night (12/22/04) for instance, there were 9 games involving teams ranked in the top 15 in the country. Opponents in seven of those nine games were: Texas A&M Corpus Christi, Centenary, Central Connecticut, William & Mary, Char. Southern, Rice, and Wisconsin Milwaukee. This doesn't mean that you should forget who the Utes have played and be enamored with their record. Definitely, they are a young team and have yet to adjust to new coach Ray Giacoletti's offense and defensive schemes.

Dec 17, 2004 : Sports Mumblings...

2004-12-17T12:19:00.000-07:00

Sports Mumbling....

Rick Majerus.....the former University of Utah basketball coach, will be the next coach at USC. Apparently he is going to finish the year at ESPN and then coach the Trojans next year. I cannot pretend to be neutral on this issue. I think its great news and I'm one of those people who thinks college basketball is better with Rick involved. I hope Rick is healthy, as it was his health that led to the decision to leave Utah last season. Knowing how much he loves the game, I understand why he couldn't stay away. Hopefully his body will hold out and allow him to do what he loves. Good luck Rick! And for those of you wondering....Yes Majerus has continued his trend of living in hotels since leaving Salt Lake City. Gotta love never having to make your bed or mow your lawn. Majerus has recently stated an intent to get a house in the coming year and finally unpack that suitcase. We'll see.

The Jazz.... are struggling and Wednesday's loss in Phoenix dropped them to 10-13 with four more road games before Christmas. Being young, injured, and playing in the difficult Western Conference is proving to be a brutal combination. Coach Sloan won't let them quit, and will make them better as they go along. Hopefully they get healthy and begin to gel before they lose sight of the playoff chase.

Sloan still in charge.... In Tuesday nights game, Jazz PG Carlos Arroyo and coach Sloan had a few words. Carlos spoke back just a bit too much. Result? Arroyo spent the rest of the game on the bench and didn't start tonight. Because of injury, the Jazz needed Arroyo and allowed him to start the 2nd half. Sloan doesn't carry grudges and will allow guys to get out of his dog house, but at the same time will leave zero doubt about who is in charge and where respect is warranted. I believe Carlos is getting impatient and isn't personally happy with how he is playing and I think its boiling over. I think everyone, including Arroyo, expected bigger and better things from this season, given the strong showing he had in the Olympics.

How do I say this nicely......Kobe you need to be quiet! Kobe might be playing well, but who really knows. Seriously, I have no idea what he is doing on the court. I do know 'in court' Kobe is just getting over the whole rape charge situation. I do know there are rumors that in the GM's office 'near the court' Kobe made sure his star was the brightest one on the team and ran Phil Jackson and Shaquille O'Neal out of town. Now on Kobe's 'home court' he is creating a big Karl Malone controversy over some alleged comments between Karl and Mrs. Bryant. Did Karl say something to Kobe's wife that he didn't like? Who knows? Who cares? Only Kobe would let this turn into national news. She is only like 19 or 20 years old and is undoubtedly getting more than she bargained for when married the Laker Superstar. This is the same Karl Malone that stood by the accused rapist last year when many people wouldn't. I guess we should be glad that Kobe is actually paying some attention to his wife? More news today was that Kobe wants to apologize to Shaq. Uhh...Kobe, call him. This doesn't belong in the news, so please spare us of the soap opera for once.

Payton Manning might....... be the only player ever to be better in real life than he is on a video game. He is certain to break Marino's record for most TDs in a season in the next week or two. While Marino was known for TDs, Isotoner gloves, and for being the best QB without a Superbowl Ring, heres hoping that Payton gets a shot to wear the ring instead of just the Isotoners.

More Honored Utes

2004-12-16T00:17:00.000-07:00

More honors for those Utes!

Utah QB, Alex Smith, finished 4th in the Heisman voting and was named to the 2nd team AP All American team. Who woulda thunk it when the season first started? I'm not sure how I have the nerve to complain, but I don't get Matt Leinart being ahead of Alex Smith. In fact, when USC named their own MVP it wasn't even Leinart, but teammate Reggie Bush getting the honor (click for story). I think Leinart was voted by default. If I am Joe Average...urr, I mean Joe Wayaboveaverage with my Heisman vote, here is how I would of landed on Leinart:
"Hmm, Jason White is good, but he won last year and no way is he worth two in a row and being in the same company as Archie Griffin. Adrian Peterson is a freshman so he has to wait. Alex Smith, well I hear he is awesome and I like that cool red helmet, but I've never seen him play and besides his team is stealing some BCS money from 'our fraternal order of big schools'. Reggie Bush barely had more rushing yards than that Smith kid who is a QB. If Bush was so fast and so great why didn't he get the ball more? Okay, who is left, uhhh, yeah Leinart from USC. He is on a BCS team, has good smile for the cameras and statistics at least almost as good as White and that Smith guy."

Still, what an incredible year for Alex and a wonderful way he has been honored.

Congrats to Saftey Morgan Scalley and OL Chris Keomoeatu on joining Alex Smith on the 2nd team AP All American team. Keomoeatu will be playing on Sundays next year and Morgan should at least get a tryout. Morgan finished 3rd in the country in interceptions, scored TDs on fumble and kick returns and posted a 3.953 GPA! Alex on the other hand better stay in school. After all, he isn't done with his degree yet. Well, his MBA that is (Alex already has his under grad degree). See the complete list of AP All Americans by clicking HERE.

Even a former Ute, QB Brett Elliott, received a national honor. Brett was the quarterback who got hurt, thereby opening the door for Alex Smith, and he never got his job back. As a result he transferred to Division III Linfield College, and led them to a 12-0 record. Brett was named by the AP, to their Little All-American team for the best players in Division II, III and NAIA. You want jaw dropping? Elliott has 4,313 yards and 59 TDS, in this season alone.

Heisman Trophy: Comparing the QBs

2004-12-10T12:53:00.000-07:00

Heisman Trophy: Comparing the QBs and a compelling case for Alex Smith.

Focusing my review on the three QBs: Alex Smith of Utah, Matt Leinart of USC, and Jason White of Oklahoma.

Two Arguments that offset in my opinion:

Level of competition. Its hard to argue against this other than Alex shined against the two toughest teams the Utes played (North Carolina and Texas A&M). He didn’t even play a complete game against either team because the Utes were throttling each opponent.

Supporting Cast. Both White and Leinart have other first team All-American’s (based upon the Sporting News) and even Heisman finalists on their teams in Adrian Peterson and Reggie Bush. In fact depending who you talk to, Peterson and Bush can be argued to be more valueable to their respective teams. Alex carried the load and was the featured guy to stop against every opponent.

I hearby call the two items, Level of Competition and Supporting Cast as a wash.

Looking at the Statistical Argument, it isn’t very close:

QB Rating;
Smith 174.9
White 162.9
Leinart 154.5

TDs:
White 33
Smith 28
Leinart 28

NOTE: Alex only played 11 games, while White and Leinart both played 12.

TDs per Pass Attempt:
Smith 10.0
White 10.7
Leinart 13.46

Yard per Pass Attempt:
Smith 9.4
White 8.4
Leinart 7.9

Interceptions:
Smith 4
White 6
Leinart 6

Rushing Yards:
Smith 562
Leinart -33
White -48

Rushing TDs:
Smith 10
Leinart 3
White 0

Total Yards
Smith 3187
Leinart 2957
White 2913

Points Accounted For per game
Smith 20.7
White 16.5
Leinart 13.46

Other points:

Leinart deserves enormous credit for directing his team to an undefeated season, while USC wore a bulls-eye as defending national champion. He is a worthy candidate, but I’d vote no higher than 3rd.

White deserves credit as being the defending Heisman trophy winner and having the pressure that goes along with those expectations. I vote him 2nd.

Smith deserves credit for directing arguably the most complex offense in the country. If people saw the Ute offense last year and this year, they would see how much better it was and how technical and diverse it was over last season. Most people assume Utah to be a wide open heavy passing team, and therefore Smith’s amazing passing statistics were generated while pummeling lower quality opponents with a relentless passing attack. Not True. However, the Utes were actually ranked higher nationally for their rushing game (9th) than their passing game (24th). Smith’s numbers were derived from a balanced attack that saw him throw many fewer passes (280) than Leinart (377) or White (354). Alex’s percentage is so high because he doesn’t throw the ball down the field like White and Leinart. Not True. As the above statistics show, Alex’s yards per attempt were actually higher than both other QBs. Lastly, the Utes were so dominating this year, that Alex rarely played the 4th quarter of his games, and therefore had little to no chance to ‘pad’ his stats.

In conclusion, Alex Smith is not the favorite to win the award and it’s really an honor for him to be a finalist and even be invited to New York. The Heisman folks probably will feel like they did a good deed to invite the guy from the smaller school to the big time party. The only problem with this view, is that it sounds remarkably similar to the BCS approach on the bowl games. They make it darn near impossible for a non BCS school to make it to the bowl games, and if they do, they get saddled with a lessor team like Pittsburgh. So like Alex, a non BCS school can sometimes crash the big party, but they can’t really take away the top honor (National Championship).

Fiesta Time: Honoring the Utes

2004-12-07T14:27:00.000-07:00

It's official, the Utes and their fans will be starting the New Year with a big Fiesta party on Jan 1st in Tempe, Arizona. The 5th ranked University of Utah Utes will battle the Big East Conference chamption, Pittsburgh Panthers, in the Tostitos Fiesta Bowl. There will be plenty of time to break down the game in coming days, but for now, lets kicking off "Fiesta Season" by looking at a few Utes receiving national honors.

Heisman candidate? Who wins that award? The best player? The most valuable? It seems to go to the most popular player on the most popular team. If that holds true, then the USC or OU Quarterback will be given the award. Basically, the Heisman doesn't go to the best player, but much like the BCS system, rewards the top player on the highest ranked BCS team. Luckily, The Sporting News is not so influenced by such politics and has announced The Player of the Year for college football is none other than Utah's Alex Smith. Alex has the passing stats to match USC's Leinart and OU's White, but in addition he has 10 rushing TDs and over 500 rushing yards that they can't match. Like Leinart and White, Smith has led his team to an undefeated season, but he has done so without as many highly acclaimed teammates as OU and USC. Oklahoma has 5 players on the The Coach of the Year, sponsored by Home Depot, and voted by ESPN and ABC college football analysts, was given to Urban Meyer. Another honor might be forthcoming, as the Football Writers Association of America (FWAA) has selected Urban as one of six finalists for the Eddie Robinson Coach of the Year Award that will be announced later in the month of December. Urban in only 4 years of being a head coach has always been honored among his peers. In addition to this years award, in 2001 he was Mid-American Conference Coach of the year, in 2003 and 2004 was the Mountain West Conference Coach of the year, and 2003 was the Sporting News Coach of the year. One bad thing for the Utes is that when your coach is that much ahead of his peers, he is in huge demand. Therefore, Urban has succombed to the demand, left the University of Utah, and continued his march toward National coaching greatness and has been named Head Coach of the University of Florida. Best of luck Urban. In Fiesta style, we say "Via Con Dios, Good luck, We wish you well".

Urban's Dad confirms Florida Decision

2004-12-03T17:01:00.000-07:00

Urban Meyer's father, Bud, confirmed today that his son had decided to accept the position of head coach at the University of Florida. This was reported by Mark Long, AP Sports writer and posted on yahoo sports. The article also states that Meyer has called a team meeting for 7am Saturday, December 4th, and will meet with the media at 10:00 am.

Here is the article: Meyer to Florida

Sunday the BCS will hand out party invitations!!

Urban-gate Update - Bitten by Gators

2004-12-03T12:03:00.000-07:00

ESPN is reporting that Urban Meyer is the next head coach for the University of Florida. Well I've been bitten hard by Gator I thought was sleeping. I was completely convinced Notre Dame was his choice and Florida was just a good school making a valiant effort at a worthwhile coach. Among my thoughts...

My ND source, The Backer, I still believe to have good info. But I think given the parties involved, and the fact that there were two big players in this mess, besides the Notre Dame, who were not showing there cards. The ND source, like the University itself, was convinced Meyer was theirs. Urban Meyer was out to get the best deal and best situation and therefore not leaking or leaning any direction publicly. Florida had the capital and the position to compete and aggressively did so. Thanks for all the info Backer, I'm not disappointed to have run with it.
The hard reality of the Florida decision is not fun. When we thought Urban going to ND, it was sad, but understood. After all, it was his dream job and people in Utah could classify it as that, rather than we got stepped over purely for a bigger school with more money. Urban going to Florida is simply that: Bigger football school, BCS school, More money. Its obvious, but its much less fun and less sentimental.
The amazing Bernie does it again. The President of the University of Florida is Dr. Bernie Machen, who was the University of Utah President at the time Urban was hired by Utah. Bernie's relationship was obviously a big thing in this decision. Apparently even bigger than Meyer's relationship with Notre Dame and his South Bend destiny. Two previous comments by Urban now make more sense. First, when he commented a day or so ago about the clauses in his contract that allowed him to freely go to Notre Dame, he said something to the effect that we shouldn't make a bigger deal out of it than it was. Simply he grew up there and used to coach there. Meaning, when he did his Utah deal he left some logical doors open, but we shouldn't over stress the importance of that. Uhh..too late, Urban we decided its your dream job. Oops. The second comment that should have meant more was when Urban basically said it wasn't just about where you coach, but also about who you coach under. This ties back into the Bernie Machen relationship.
This isn't a good day in Utah, but at least we knew Urban wasn't coaching here next year. Notre Dame however, fired it's coach T. Willingham, because they wanted Urban. I think they believed he was theirs whenever they came calling. It seemed to be the right assumption. Notre Dame's 2nd choice unfortunately, despite being the number immediately following one, isn't really in the same world as their first choice. Snagging some guy from Iowa, or another up and comer won't suffice. Maybe the problems in South Bend speak more about the the overall program management and the parity in college football, than they do about the in ability of the coach on the field to get the desired results. Urban no doubt examined the whole picture and didn't like some of the details behind the Golden Dome.

Urban-gate Update - My source says deal is done

2004-12-02T22:35:00.000-07:00

At about 10 minutes until 9:00 PM MST I rec'd an email message:

"urban is south bend bound ... annoucement tomorrow". source: The Backer

The Notre Dame recruiting team (their AD and President) didn't need much time to perform surgery and remove the heart of Ute fans. Sounds like these guys were back on their plane with-in four hours of arriving in town. Either these big BCS schools are very talented and efficient, or their recent swoon has left them a little low on cash and could only rent the plane for a few hours. Seeing how their logo was painted on the plane, lets assume the pockets are deep, these guys are good, and their man didn't need a lot of convincing.

I guess its time to end the denial and accept that Urban was offered his dream job and its time for him to go see if its all that he thought it would be. Will he lead them back to the promised land? In this day and age of parity and their brutal schedule, is it reasonable to think that the Irish will be back in the national hunt on a regular basis? I'd say if they give this guy the tools, they'll be in good shape to compete again with the best. Urban won't be ouch coached. He was worth the effort and quick movement by Notre Dame. The have taken heat early this week, but perhaps they should get more credit. They didn't have much time to decide to make a bold move, but knowing that Florida was working hard to get their man, they had to take aggressive and decisive action. With all apologies to a very good man in T. Willingham, who certainly could have earned a little more time, the Irish had a shot to make a serious upgrade and took it. I have no doubts they will instantly be better.

For now though, it's the University of Utah Utes playing on Jan 1. The Irish will have to wait for dates like that. Its the Utes ranked #5 in the country. The Irish will hve to wait for a ranking like that. Urban may be their man, and they may be giving him the job he dreamed of, but its the 2004 Utes who are having a season even the Irish are dreaming about. Imagine playing every game up to your potential. No bad games. No loses. No close games. One more to go. Bring on the Panthers!

Urban Meyer: The latest rumors, truths, and wishes

2004-12-02T16:09:00.001-07:00

BREAKING NEWS: Urban Meyer WILL COACH against Pittsburgh!!! The Utes are destined to play Pittsburgh in the Fiesta bowl on Jan 1 so that's good news. But, guess who Notre Dame opens the season with next year? Yep, Pittsburgh. So Urban will likely coach against Pittsburgh in his next game as head coach, but where??

I've read rumors from ESPN, Yahoo sports, the Utefans board, and a good summary from the Irish Trojan (recommended viewing: http://www.brendanloy.com/).

Here are the things being said, with some classified as true, rumor, or wish.

- Urban's family is so happy in Salt Lake City and so tired of moving, that Urban has given them a 5 year promise to stay in Utah. Well, they are happy here, I believe that. However, the idea that their desire to settle down as a priority over Urban's dream job is merely a wish. Besides...the family of a football coach is sort of destined to have Uhaul on the speed dial.

- Urban visited South Bend today. He met with the AD Kevin White, toured the the campus and was greeted by old friends. Rumor! Meyer was in Salt Lake last night and has been confirmed at practice today.

- Notre Dame AD Kevin White and the president of the university are headed to Utah with designs on skiing the greatest snow on earth this weekend. The university plane just happened to be available. Ok, skiing aside, this seems to be legit and therefore I vote truth. I first learned this via the Irish Trojan, and it was just confirmed by a local TV Station (Wesley Ruff). A good summary of this info at the Washington Post that includes the FAA details:(http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A29143-2004Dec2.html). And to further verify this one, "The Backer" must have been on the scene with his camera: http://thebacker.blogspot.com/2004/12/are-we-stepping-into-realm-of-insanity.html

- Urban Meyer was offered the Notre Dame job last night. This is only being reported by various people with a source of a source. I vote Rumor on this as the extent of the 'offer' was probably just a phone call from Kevin White offering to come to Utah Thursday night for dinner and discussions. Note: This could also be a classified as a wish (of all Golden Domers), alas job offers issued by Notre Dame alumni using telekinesis don't count. Relax Domers, its coming soon, this is just a discussion of timing.

- Rick Majerus called Urban, recommended that he stay at Utah and just have fun with the media circus for a few years. RM also suggested Urban move his family into a hotel, not only for the heated pool and free breakfast buffet, but that the appearance of such a liquid and moving living arrangement only adds fuel the fire. Okay, this isn't exactly a rumor, maybe a twisted wish.

- Truth according to Urban: He met with the team a few hours ago and confirmed that he has narrowed his coaching future to three schools. Notre Dame, Florida, and Utah. He stated that no decision has been made and he is making every effort to be upfront and straight with these guys.

In a nutshell: Wishes are for Urban to stay; Rumors are that he is already gone; The Truth is, while it may happen quick, he'll take enough time to shrewdly get the right deal from Notre Dame.

In pursuit of Urban

2004-12-01T16:30:00.000-07:00

Ever since Notre Dame announced that Coach Willingham was gone, its been chaos. You would expect it to be nuts in South Bend, but its equally crazy in Salt Lake City. Every university with a job opening seems to be in hot pursuit of Urban Meyer. Rumors are abound. Here is the latest...I share this, knowing full ware that it will be obsolete within in 24 hours.

For the latest in South Bend, you need to check out The Backer's Blog: www.thebacker.blogspot.com

The latest from Urban Meyer is based upon a very honest interview he just had with a local radio station (4:20 pm MST). He didn't dodge a question, and I think was pretty straight with where things are.

He confirmed for the first time that he has been contacted about coaching openings. By many schools in fact. So, surely its Notre Dame, Washington, Florida, Illinois, and perhaps several of the other 15 or schools with head coach openings.
When asked if he has had discussions with anyone, he replied that it was "common knowledge" and expected those discussions to continue. Uh-oh. How detailed could it be? How hard? "Urban, this is Mr. Golden Domer, we want you to come home son. We want to pay you about $2.0 Million per year for 5 years if you would be so kind as to just come home" People here love Urban. People here would miss him. People here respect his career goal and may even help the guy pack.
He is still focused on preparing the Utes. So much that the team is being put through very rigorous conditioning drills. I'm sure its normal, but they are responding so well that he was gushing with pride. He was clear in his opinion that the Utes are one of the top teams in the country.
Talk about prep. Their bowl opponent isn't finalized, nor is the location, but Urban already has the Utes breaking down Pittsburgh. In fact, yesterday they had the scout team running Pittsburgh stuff already. Impressive. The Panthers are going to be the next team to get runover by this Utah train. When they lose by 14 or more, Utah will become only the 2nd team in NCAA history to beat every opponent during the entire season by 14 or more points. Nebraska in the 80s was the other.
Urban stated he was "No Question" planning on being in Tempe. Said he loves Utah, loves this team, and there are some unique things at play here. I interpret that to mean, I am really really going to miss this great place, when I go fulfill my dream.
I loved a comment he made about the difference between being an assistant and being a coach. An assistant makes suggestions, a head coach makes decisions.
Lastly, I felt he was campaigning a little for Kyle Whittingham, the current defensive coordinator. It wasn't blatant but he got his point across.

We'll keep watching this situation. The next big thing (barring coaching annoucement), will be the BCS final bowl pairings show on Sunday. It will be a great day for the Utah program. Go Utes.

Pittsburgh looks to win Big East Fiesta lotto

2004-11-29T18:50:00.000-07:00

The University of Utah football team is un-defeated and poised for its first BCS bowl game ever. They are most likely to play in the Tostitos Fiesta Bowl against the Big East Conference Champion. It is still possible for the Utes to play in the Rose or Sugar bowls, but there would have to be a few upsets in college football this week. Now a smart man, would be quiet and wait to see how things pan out before making projections or comments about what is likely to happen. Sorry, I can't do it.

I predict Utah to beat the Pittsburgh Panthers 45-21 in the Fiesta Bowl. Since on a national radio show this weekend I heard a Pittsburgh fan start trash talking the Utes a little early, I thought I would forward a response letter to the Panthers that while not really written by the Fiesta Bowl committee, should have been. (Note: assumptions made that things go as predicted over the final week of college football and the two teams actually meet)

Dear Pittsburgh Panthers,

We thank you for your interest in the Tostitos Fiesta bowl. We politely decline the extension of an invitation to your school. We did a quick review of your resume and offer a few points of note:

At 7-3, with only a pending game against South Florida, your record seems adequate for a mid major school in a under-performing conference. However, the BCS bowls are generally reserved for teams that have played up to their potential and established themselves among their peers.
As nice as your 7-3 record seems, we honestly thought you were 2-8. Our mistake. Upon further review we noticed that you scored late or in overtime to beat Furman (Division 1-AA), Temple (2 wins all year), Boston College, Notre Dame, and West Virginia. Congratulations on that. Instead of being an embarrassment to your conference and families, you rallied to win both your pride and the title of the best team in a conference filled with almost-woulda-coulda-shouldas.
It should be noted in all 3 of your losses you were beaten by 7 or more points.

Oh wait, never mind. We just received a phone call on your behalf. Please disregard the above notes and any comments we may have made that seem to slight you and your fine institution. We hereby accept your RSVP for the Tostitos party. Please forgive the confusion, we weren't initially aware that you were invited, nor after looking at your credentials were we sure that you were qualified to attend. However, your Daddy, Mr. BCS has personally called to get you on the invitee list. It seems you belong to the right fraternity of big schools and conferences that have guaranteed themselves invitations to all the big parties and a lion share of the cover charges generated by such parties. So...Congratulations and welcome to the Fiesta Bowl. If your alumni and fans need directions to Tempe, we suggest heading west and away from the east coast bias. Find I-40 and drive until you smell our delicious nachos and southwestern appetizers.

Sincerely,

U. R. Whelkum

Fiesta Bowl Director

Okay, silly letter aside. I don't see the Utes being challenged by the Panthers. I'll spend the weekend hoping that the Utes fall into another opponent or that the BCS will realize they CAN have their cake and eat it too, by making Auburn and Utah play, while relegating Pitt to play Texas or another "we almost did it" team.

Stock rising to the roof

2004-11-22T08:36:00.000-07:00

Tonight the Utah Jazz will hoist John Stockton's #12 jersey to the rafters at the Delta Center.

That means, not only will we never see a player who could fill his shoes, or his void in the league, but certainly not his jersey. It is a bit cliche to say he was one of a kind, but there isn't much other way to put it.

Stockton is loved by most, and is often labeled as 'Old School' and remembered for the length of his shorts. I guess he was 'old school', but did it in a way that was un-matched by any other. Perhaps he should be titled Dean or President of the Old School. And thinking about Old School, I think you could argue that many of the new generation of players should be called "No School". Players of today skip college, skip fundamentals, and basically skip the idea that playing with respect for the game is a core value. Mr. Old School is the NBA's all-time assist and steals leader. With regard to the length of his shorts, like any other aspect of fashion, if you wait long enough those too will come back 'in'.

This ceremony tonight isn't really for John. I think he cares, but doesn't seek this type of attention. This ceremony is for the fans, giving us another reason to warrant his appearance back in Arena, and a chance to remember him (and remember those great teams). Perhaps next year we'll get him back into the spotlight long enough to unveil the Stockton and Malone statues outside the Delta Center. Then in a few years we'll host a Hall of Fame inductee celebration. After that we are just going to have to wait for one of his sons to get into the NBA.

A few things you of interest about about John:

The Jazz trainer said at one point his body fat was 2.4% and his resting heart rate was 36.
UCLA legend coach John Wooden said John was the one player he'd pay to watch.
John was cut the first time he tried out for the US Olympic team. In addition, Karl Malone and Charles Barkley were cut during the same tryout. He later went on to star on the Dream Team and collect a gold medal. That was in the days when the best players wanted to play in the Olympics.
Not only is John the all time assist leader at 15,806, but he has 5,463 more than 2nd place.
No active NBA player has more than 8,100. Of the 9 times that an NBA player has posted 1,000 assists in a season, John has 7.
No Days off. John played in 1,504 of 1,526 games in his career, and in 17 seasons he played every game. He obviously played with countless illnesses and sprains, but felt his duty to play. In today's NBA, some guys miss games because they are tired from pushing their own CDs.
A security guard once pointed out Karl Malone to John and said, "I don't know if you're a basketball fan, young man, but that's Karl Malone".
Once when Stockton was a free agent, he re-signed with the Jazz for less money than he could have received on the open market. When questioned why he turned down the bigger money offer, he replied "How much is enough?" He'd likely get banished from the league today, as the guys think they are entitled to the crazy salaries.
John is married to Nada, has six children, and now lives in his hometown of Spokane.

Rather than closing with a flashy, clever line, I'll keep it simple and straight like Stockton himself. Thank you for wearing #12 so well and so often John.

Utes look for 11-0 on Rivalry week

2004-11-18T16:06:00.000-07:00

The Utah Utes play BYU, a.k.a. the TDS (Team Down South) or BYWho, in the one of the most anticipated games in years. To accurately write words that capture the emotions this week around the city is hard to do, but...I'm up for the challenge.

The things swirling in the air...

People are absolutely nuts over Urban Meyer right now. Urban is rumored to be going to Florida next season. I refuse to focus too much on that right now. Think of it like a great date and enjoy it while it lasts. Even if we are thinking a long-term marriage, its impossible to say what he is thinking. Florida might have $2 Million reasons why he would be interested in dating them for a while, and it would be hard to blame him. He is for now our coach and he is awfuly good. Similar situation to Rick Marjerus, who used to coach the Utes Basketball team to prominance. People were always interested in Rick, and while he entertained them, he didn't let their desire or money effect ultimately effect where he coached college baseketball.
BCS. Assuming the Utes beat the TDS this week then they should be a lock for the #6 spot in the BCS rankings and a big time bowl. That said, there will still be alot of attention on the Auburn/Alabama, Cal/Stanford, and Michigan/OhioSt. A victory by any of the 2nd teams listed in that group would not only cement Utah's place, but possibly allow them to move up in rankings. Of that group, Michigan is most vulnerable, but who knows.
ESPN Gameday did the national morning show outside Rice Eccles stadium. Thousands of Utah fans showed up at 8am to carry on and go nuts, even though it was about 30 degrees, with a few snow flurries. Nevermind, Utah's game doesn't start until 5pm local time. Many Ute fans participated in Operation Sombrero, in honor of a hopeful fiesta bowl appearance. It's definately not every Saturday you see hundreds of sombrero wearing guys on the streets of Salt Lake City. It was a great showing and there were even a few Cougar fans there to offer a contrast for the rivalry.
Fans on both sides have talked alot of Smack. Utah's players have been pretty quick, but a couple of BYU's younger players have offered up opinions of "put a hurt on 'em" and "should be able to run well on them" that I'm sure won't go un-noticed.
Couple of links to also note: http://www.usatoday.com/sports/columnist/lopresti/2004-11-18-lopresti_x.htm (Called, Get to Know the Utes) and for all the crazyness http://utefans.net (popular Utah fan forum).

I, like most logical and sane people, expect the Utes to win this game. However, I think Vegas is a little too agressive with a 21 1/2 point spread. I see turnovers by BYU being a key to how close it will be. No turnovers and this could be really tight, but with a couple turnovers, I'd expect Utah to win 31-17. If the weather stays good and BYU doesn't hold onto the ball, then the Cougars will get steamrolled.

FUN Stat to consider - In College football history there have been over 80 teams go undefeated for a whole season. Until now, only one team, Nebraska (in the 80s) was able to win every game on its schedule by 14 or more points. The Utes so far are in line to be only the 2nd team ever to accomplish this feat.

Go Utes!!!

Utes taking the sports car onto the icy Wyoming track

2004-11-12T09:15:00.000-07:00

The Utes are in Laramie, Wyoming today seeking to improve to 10-0. The thought of playing in sub-freezing weather with a chance of snow is hardly fun. It could be worse, you could play for Wyoming and know that you chose to play in this weather several times a year!

Things to consider: Wyoming is 6-3, and 5-0 at home this year. The Utes are only 3-2 in their last 5 visits to the frozen rodeo arena in Laramie. Wyoming's offense looks finely tuned as they have averaged 48 points per game the last two weeks and have scored over 50 twice this year. Okay, before I sound like Lou Holtz trying to pump-up McNeese St. and why they are undoubtedly the fiercest team in the country, I should note that the oddmakers say its Utah favored by 23. Utah will win this game, but I have a hard time not thinking it could be their closest game of the year (under 14 pts).

On a warm day, or even just a decent day for football, I would see something along the lines of 50-28 for this game. There is definitely the argument that Utah could blow the doors off the Cowboys well running truck. After all, Utah has one of the top offenses in the country, and Wyoming's defense in near last in the conference against the run and the pass. Despite Wyoming's perfect home season, the Utes have won their last nine road games, a streak that nearly covers the last two seasons. Urban Meyer hasn't allowed the Utes to look past anyone this year.

Even with all the talk about the BCS, Urban's coaching future, and the big game against BYU next week, I expect the Utes will be focused. However, I expect the weather to have some impact and look for more like 35-21. That is about as pessimistic as I can get. Barring a complete blizzard in Wyoming tonight, I just can't see the Utes getting slowed down enough for the Pokes to get passed them.

Speaking about the Urban Meyer coaching future. I know a guy, who knows a guy, who's sister's brother's friend's dad's uncle, delivered a Pizza to his house. Apparently, there are no moving boxes in sight around the Meyer house. So there, its official. He stays in Utah for at least another year. Okay, perhaps my inside source isn't so 'real', but given the comments I've heard this week I'd say the Pizza guy inside my head is right. He stays and is here at least another year of love in Salt Lake City.

Speaking of traditions....the call "Utah by 5" has forever been a mantra shouted by the Ute fans when asked about an upcoming game. In these days however, the expectations are so high, people would be disappointed with such a weak prediction.

Absol-UTE-ly dominating and 9-0

2004-11-08T14:52:00.000-07:00

The University of Utah Utes are now 9-0 and running over opponents like a runaway train. In making a case for the Utes to make an appearance in a BCS bowl, I offer the following review. As of today, the Utes are only 7th in the BCS rankings and therefore not guaranteed a big bowl birth. (disclaimer: I apologize in advance if I missed any statistics and for any bias related to my Ute Alumni status)

First, Utah features a High-Octane offense that has burned every opponent. Examine the amazing numbers.

The Utes have had only 6 scoreless quarters this season. That is in 9 full games. Keep in mind 3 of those scoreless quarters were the 4th quarters of games they had in hand. At this point, they have scored in 15 of the last 16 quarters.
The Utes have 10 Quarters this season in which they have scored 20 or more points.
The Utes average 45.8 points per game and have scored 41 or more in 7 of their 9 games. In addition, they have scored 63, 51, and 63 in their last three conference games.
Though odds makers continue to throw large point spreads out there, the Utes have beaten the spread 7 of 8 weeks in which numbers were posted.
How quick do they strike? Saturday against Colorado St., Utah had a scoring drive that lasted just over five minutes (I think 5:08). That was reported as their longest scoring drive of the season.

Second, arguing against their schedule. It's true the Utes don't play in a BCS conference and therefore don't play that type of opponent every week. However, they have played three BCS schools this year and beaten all three by a combined 110-43. Sure the schedule isn't the toughest, but they have controlled the only thing they can, and that is hammered each opponent. No off games for the Utes, no squeakers on a bad night. No overtime flukes. Average margin of victory is 25.5 points and the closest game was a 14 point margin. In fact, only twice have they not won their game by 20 or more points. Let's look at a few of their opponents and how the Utes have handled them....

Texas A&M is the 22nd ranked team in the country. The Utes beat the Aggies by 20 points and the 41 points they scored are 2nd only to the 42 that Oklahoma scored on the Aggies. The Aggies challenged OU, led most of the game, and nearly won. In fact, not counting the blowout by the Utes, the Aggies other two losses were by a combined 8 points. More? The Aggies offense, led by Reggie McNeil, has scored 27 or more points in every game this year except one. The one? The Utes, of course, only allowed 21 pts.
Arizona is the pansy of the Pac 10. However, keep in mind #4 Wisconsin only managed to beat the Wildcats 9-7. The Utes handled the Aggies 23-6, in game that wasn't that close. As far as the Pac 10 goes, the Utes have tried to challenge them every year. Last year the Utes beat both Cal and Oregon.
New Mexico while not a great team, was predicted by many to beat the Utes. The score was 28-7 and while that doesn't seem overly impressive you must look further. The 28 points the Utes scored are the most given up by the Lobos this year. Also, the 5-4 Lobos may have lost to the Utes by 21 points, but they've only lost by a combined 19 points in their other 3 losses.
North Carolina is a BCS school and was throttled by 30 points in Salt Lake City a few weeks back. Everyone said that while it was a impressive win by the Utes, it didn't mean much because North Carolina is awful. Maybe not. Since that beating, the Tar Heels have beat then #4 ranked Miami, and narrowly lost to #16 ranked Virginia Tech by 3 points.
UNLV rec'd a 63-28 throttling by the Utes. Only noteworthy when you note that the #4 Wisconsin Badgers only beat the Rebels 18-3, and needed a late touchdown to do that. The Utes had their 63 points in only 3 quarters, which is also the most points given up by the Rebels this year.
San Diego State was another team set to challenge the Utes with their strong defense. The Utes posted 51 points, which were the most points allowed by the Aztecs this year, and left me wondering how the Aztecs played #9 ranked Michigan to a near dead heat on the road in Ann Arbor. Michigan won 24-21, but the Aztecs led at half-time and missed two 4th quarter field goals.
Colorado State claimed to be able to hang with the Utes. Stating last year's close game proved to them that the Utes weren't unbeatable. At the end of the game, the scoreboard showed 63-31 in a game that wasn't even that close. That is the most points by a Ram opponent this year, and only the 2nd opponent to score more than 34 points (USC scored 49).

In conclusion, the 9-0 Utes are not just another small conference team that is beating lesser opponents. The are running over everyone in their path. Are they due for a bad game that could cause them to stumble? Maybe, but I wouldn't count on it. In the words of Urban Meyer, we'll just keep focusing on the next game. 9-0 only means that you get a chance to go to 10-0. Surely this week's opponent, Wyoming, wishes the Utes would focus on something else besides the next bump in the road. Chances are Urban's focus will mean steamrolling yet another bump.

Old traditions and curses are falling like mad.

2004-11-04T21:52:00.000-07:00

First the Redsox break the curse of the bambino. The sports world will have to look for a new team to be the forever bridesmaid. Actually, it wasn't so much Boston's inability to win the title as it was their real ability to lose it. Getting close now and then only served to highlight, just how well they could really lose it. How did they break it? I think getting Schilling and a bunch of loose guys in their lockerroom who didn't believe in the curse and just went out and played.

Another long term tradition/curse that went bust was the Washington Redskins and their ability to pick the president. Since like 1936, if Washington won their last home game before the election, the encumbent won the office. If the lost, of course the opposite occured. Imagine the predictions when the Redskins lost their last home game. Could it be Kerry? Well, that tradition went bust I think largely because the tradition was exposed and bantered all over the media. It became just too big and too impossible to continue. Its over. Now we don't have to watch or care much about those Redskins except for the weeks they play the Cowboys (How 'bout them Cowboys!).

Bottom line, while it may be good to look back in sports (and life), you can't overstate the impact the past will have on the current days. Especially if there is desire for a different outcome. The past can grip only as tight as you allow it.

A look back and a look ahead...

2004-10-26T00:01:00.000-06:00

Looking back...
Saturday night at Rice-Eccles Stadium, in Salt Lake City. It poured. It came down hard, it came down early, and it kept pouring until the final gun sounded. That was of course the Utah intensity I speak of. The weather? yeah it rained the whole game too. The scoreboard showed a 63-28 final tally, and despite your assumption, it was not a case of a team trying to run it up on another. Utah's starting QB, Alex Smith, sat down halfway into the 3rd quarter and the Utes took their foot off the throttle. The soon to be retired coaching legend, John Robinson, was given a parting gift by the Utes, as they knelt on the ball when on the one yard line at the end of the game, rather than letting the 3rd string QB get a TD.

New polls are out and have placed the Utes at #9 & 10 in the coaches and media polls, and all the way up to #6 in the BCS. If they can stay there, they would be guaranteed an invitation to a BCS bowl.

Up next, San Diego St. on the road. An early preview says that 2-5 Aztecs won't be much of a challenge. However, looking deeper you see they 0nly lost by 3 this year at #12 Michigan, and only one team has scored more than 24 points on them this year (UCLA 33). I think the game could be Utah's closest this year, but that isn't saying much as Air Force's 14 point loss is the only time an opponent has stayed closer than 17 points to the Utes. Vegas has Utah a 16 1/2 favorite at this point. I don't have a prediction other than I do not believe Urban will allow these guys to overlook the Aztecs.

Red Sox winning a world series? Don't engrave the trophy yet. I am not convinced. I do think Schilling is amazing and worthy, but I think the Red Sox are almost in the position they are naturally accustomed to residing. That is the perfect place to choke. Choking isn't as good if you do it early and easy, but doing so when it looks like you should and could win, is what makes Boston special. The NY Mets won a world title after loosing the first two games to the Red Sox. I think a couple of games in St. Louis are just what the doctor ordered to get the Redbirds flying.

More mumbling later...

Yanks, Soxs, and Christian Athlete

2004-10-20T17:09:00.000-06:00

Yankees and Redsox game 7 tonight has nothing to do with the curse of the bambino. In fairness to the guys on the field right now, the curse has no impact. It's sports, its competition, getting there and winning is hard to do period. Better teams with bigger payrolls might do it more often, but recent World Series winners: Angels, Marlins, and Diamondbacks speak to the fact that the best team on a roll can win it all without respect to curses, payrolls, major market bias, or team history. This game tonight is fun because of the rivalry, the personalities, and the history the two teams share. The winner gets bragging rights and maybe a chance at Roger Clemens.

Schilling was amazing last night by the way. Pitching on that leg and doing that well was amazing. Did you see the blood on the sock? One of the things people are talking about today was his statement after the game. The statement that God was with him. I for one get it, but the sports radio guys are missing it today. It's not that God was for Schilling and for no one else, but a Christian can definitely make it through trials by relying on faith. In Schilling's case, reliance on God to help with the pain, the pressure, and performing to his best ability makes perfect sense. Even in a loss, Schilling could have received the same benefits. Christian athletes, or regular Joe's for that matter, can give the glory for the good things in their life to God.

What I expect tonight: I feel like one of the offenses will wake up and post 8+ runs. I think the other team will be stuck around 3 runs. That said, I'll pick the Yanks 8, Sox 3; A-Rod will be big tonight and the Sox will leave a bunch of runners on base.